Raluka Serban vs Sara Cakarevic

WTA Lisboa (Portugal), Clay. Monday, October 12, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Raluka Serban beat Sara Cakarevic 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Cakarevic at 58%. Raluka Serban leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Serban is 7-3 in their last 10, Cakarevic 5-5.

Result: Raluka Serban beat Sara Cakarevic 7-5, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Sara Cakarevic.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sara Cakarevic a 58% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Sara Cakarevic, 12 points below the model's 58%.

Model
42%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
58%
Book
47%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Cakarevic at +115 · Model track record

Player comparison

Raluka SerbanSara Cakarevic
Tennis Gauge rating66356530
Tour rankWTA #353WTA #498
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days2-33-2
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record25-3124-27
UTR11.2910.83
Elo (52 weeks)13061202
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Raluka Serban leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Raluka Serban7-5, 6-1Portugal Lisboa

Recent form

Raluka Serban, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Lina Gjorcheska W0-6, 6-1, 6-4
27.10.2026Ekaterina Tupitsyna W6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Leyre Romero Gormaz L6-1, 6-2
13.10.2026Analu Freitas W6-1, 6-1
12.10.2026Sara Cakarevic W7-5, 6-1
11.10.2026Sarah Van Emst W6-2, 4-6, 6-4
08.10.2026Jennifer Ruggeri L7-5, 6-7, 6-0
07.10.2026Lara Schmidt W7-5, 2-0
07.10.2026Leon Schmidt W7-5, 2-0
23.09.2026Gaia Maduzzi L6-4, 4-6, 6-3

Sara Cakarevic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Lian Tran L6-0, 6-2
19.10.2026Marie Mattel W7-6, 3-6, 6-4
18.10.2026Kim Chiarello W6-2, 6-2
12.10.2026Raluka Serban L7-5, 6-1
11.10.2026Katerina Tsygourova W4-6, 6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Lisa Zaar L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
06.10.2026Carolina Bohrer Martins W6-3, 6-0
24.09.2026Tena Lukas L6-3, 6-2
23.09.2026Noemi Maines W6-4, 7-6
04.09.2026Georgia Pedone L6-1, 0-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRaluka SerbanSara Cakarevic
Jennifer Ruggeri 0-1
L 7-5, 6-7, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Manon Leonard 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-0, 7-5
Noemi Basiletti 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
Oceane Dodin 0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
0-1
L 7-5, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: WTA Lisboa (Portugal), model gave Raluka Serban 42% at -167

Raluka Serban vs Sara Cakarevic: quick answers

Who won Raluka Serban vs Sara Cakarevic?

Raluka Serban beat Sara Cakarevic 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Cakarevic at 58%.

What is the head-to-head record between Raluka Serban and Sara Cakarevic?

Raluka Serban leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Raluka Serban 7-5, 6-1 at Portugal Lisboa.

Who is in better form, Raluka Serban or Sara Cakarevic?

Raluka Serban is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Sara Cakarevic is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Raluka Serban and Sara Cakarevic?

Raluka Serban is rated 6635 (WTA #353) and Sara Cakarevic is rated 6530 (WTA #498). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Raluka Serban vs Sara Cakarevic?

Raluka Serban is priced at -167 and Sara Cakarevic at +115, which implies a 63% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Sara Cakarevic 12 points higher than the odds do (58% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.