Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rafael Jodar, giving them a 72% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot (28%). Valentin Vacherot leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10, Jodar 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Rafael Jodar a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rafael Jodar at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valentin Vacherot | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6904 | 6980 |
| Tour rank | ATP #39 | ATP #5 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 7-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 28-19 | 60-20 |
| UTR | 15.94 | 16.18 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1877 | 2019 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Valentin Vacherot leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 | Switzerland Basel |
Recent form
Valentin Vacherot, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alexander Blockx | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Rafael Jodar, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valentin Vacherot | Rafael Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-0, 6-4 |
| Alex De Minaur | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Alex Michelsen | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Alexander Blockx | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Arthur Fils | 1-1 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
2-1 W 7-6, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
2-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-3, W 1-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Luca Van Assche | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 0-6, 6-1 |
| Nuno Borges | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Valentin Vacherot 28% at +225
Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar: quick answers
Who will win Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rafael Jodar, giving them a 72% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot (28%).
What is the head-to-head record between Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar?
Valentin Vacherot leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Valentin Vacherot 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 at Switzerland Basel.
Who is in better form, Valentin Vacherot or Rafael Jodar?
Valentin Vacherot is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Rafael Jodar is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valentin Vacherot and Rafael Jodar?
Valentin Vacherot is rated 6904 (ATP #39) and Rafael Jodar is rated 6980 (ATP #5). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar?
Valentin Vacherot is priced at +225 and Rafael Jodar at -286, which implies a 31% and 74% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.