Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 09:10.

Updated

Rafael Jodar beat Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Rafael Jodar leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jodar is 7-3 in their last 10, Tirante 4-6.

Result: Rafael Jodar beat Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Rafael Jodar a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
71%
Book
70%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model
29%
Book
35%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rafael Jodar at -238 · Model track record

Player comparison

Rafael JodarThiago Agustin Tirante
Tennis Gauge rating69806875
Tour rankATP #5ATP #57
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days2-12-1
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record60-2034-25
UTR16.1815.54
Elo (52 weeks)19821808
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Rafael Jodar leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Rafael Jodar4-6, 6-2, 6-3China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Rafael Jodar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Valentin Vacherot L7-6, 2-6, 7-6
27.10.2026Alejandro Tabilo W6-4, 6-2
18.10.2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina L1-6, 7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Daniil Medvedev W6-3, 6-4
16.10.2026Casper Ruud W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Casper Ruud W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Botic Van De Zandschulp W6-7, 6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Jiri Lehecka W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
10.10.2026Thiago Agustin Tirante W4-6, 6-2, 6-3
01.10.2026Adolfo Daniel Vallejo L6-1, 6-3

Thiago Agustin Tirante, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Adrian Mannarino L6-4, 7-6
19.10.2026Facundo Diaz Acosta L6-7, 6-1, 6-4
10.10.2026Rafael Jodar L4-6, 6-2, 6-3
08.10.2026Hamad Medjedovic W6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Jan Lennard Struff L6-1, 6-4
19.09.2026Mert Alkaya W6-2, 6-4
30.08.2026Adrian Mannarino L4-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3
21.08.2026Arthur Fils L6-3, 6-2
19.08.2026Jakub Mensik W5-7, 6-4, 6-4
17.08.2026Martin Landaluce W7-6, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRafael JodarThiago Agustin Tirante
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0-1
L 1-6, 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 7-6, 6-1, 6-3
Alejandro Tabilo 3-1
W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-1, W 6-7, 6-4, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-2
0-2
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-7, 6-1
Aleksandar Vukic 1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2, 6-2
Arthur Fils 2-1
W 7-6, 6-3, W 7-6, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Botic Van De Zandschulp 1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Cameron Norrie 2-0
W 6-3, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2
1-1
W 6-3, 7-5, L 7-5, 7-6
Cristian Garin 1-0
W 6-0, 6-2
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Daniil Medvedev 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Flavio Cobolli 0-1
L 4-6, 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Jakub Mensik 0-1
L 6-2, 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
Jesper De Jong 1-0
W 2-6, 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-3
Learner Tien 2-0
W 6-1, 6-4, W 1-4, 4-3, 1-4, 4-2, 4-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Martin Landaluce 1-0
W 4-3, 4-1, 4-3
1-1
W 7-6, 7-6, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-4
Pablo Carreno Busta 2-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 4-6, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5, 3-6, 6-4
Taylor Fritz 0-2
L 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3

Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante: quick answers

Who won Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?

Rafael Jodar beat Thiago Agustin Tirante 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Rafael Jodar and Thiago Agustin Tirante?

Rafael Jodar leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Rafael Jodar 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Rafael Jodar or Thiago Agustin Tirante?

Rafael Jodar is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thiago Agustin Tirante is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Rafael Jodar and Thiago Agustin Tirante?

Rafael Jodar is rated 6980 (ATP #5) and Thiago Agustin Tirante is rated 6875 (ATP #57). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?

Rafael Jodar is priced at -238 and Thiago Agustin Tirante at +186, which implies a 70% and 35% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.