Sadbaroy Kholdarova vs Rachael Phelan
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rachael Phelan, giving them a 55% chance to win against Sadbaroy Kholdarova (45%). Sadbaroy Kholdarova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kholdarova is 6-4 in their last 10, Phelan 2-8. At -102, the odds imply 50% for Rachael Phelan, below the model's 55%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Rachael Phelan a 55% favorite. At -102 the sportsbook implies 50% for Rachael Phelan, 5 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rachael Phelan at -102 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sadbaroy Kholdarova | Rachael Phelan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5600 | 5695 |
| Tour rank | WTA #3575 | WTA #3305 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 6 Losses |
| Season record | 8-10 | 5-16 |
| UTR | 8.5 | 8.82 |
Head to head
Sadbaroy Kholdarova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 | USA UTR Pro Match Series |
Recent form
Sadbaroy Kholdarova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rachael Phelan | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Serafima Bobrovnikova | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Rufaro Magarira | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Sarah Stoyanov | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Sammie Schouten | W | 7-5, 3-6, 1-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Savannah Webster | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Aada Inna | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 18.09.2026 | Rebecca Widan | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Emma Dvorackova | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 29.08.2026 | Addy Rogin | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Rachael Phelan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Lauren Nolan | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Alba Salles Canudas | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Polina Sleptsova | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Raegan Farm | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 04.05.2026 | Zijun Jiang | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 03.05.2026 | Yuqi Wang | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 26.04.2026 | Jiumeng Liu | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 22.03.2026 | Lyric Bonilla | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.03.2026 | Lucia Fuduric | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Sadbaroy Kholdarova 45% at -147
Sadbaroy Kholdarova vs Rachael Phelan: quick answers
Who will win Sadbaroy Kholdarova vs Rachael Phelan?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rachael Phelan, giving them a 55% chance to win against Sadbaroy Kholdarova (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sadbaroy Kholdarova and Rachael Phelan?
Sadbaroy Kholdarova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Sadbaroy Kholdarova 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 at USA UTR Pro Match Series.
Who is in better form, Sadbaroy Kholdarova or Rachael Phelan?
Sadbaroy Kholdarova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Rachael Phelan is 2-8 (current streak: 6 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sadbaroy Kholdarova and Rachael Phelan?
Sadbaroy Kholdarova is rated 5600 (WTA #3575) and Rachael Phelan is rated 5695 (WTA #3305). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sadbaroy Kholdarova vs Rachael Phelan?
Sadbaroy Kholdarova is priced at -147 and Rachael Phelan at -102, which implies a 60% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Rachael Phelan 5 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.