Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Polona Hercog, giving them a 85% chance to win against Valeriya Strakhova (15%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Hercog is 5-5 in their last 10, Strakhova 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Polona Hercog a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Polona Hercog at -588 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Polona Hercog | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6784 | 6564 |
| Tour rank | WTA #210 | WTA #453 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 5 Wins |
| Season record | 36-24 | 32-32 |
| UTR | 11.64 | 10.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1546 | 1173 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valeriya Strakhova | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 | Mexico Queretaro |
| 16.11.2025 | Polona Hercog | 6-1, 6-0 | China Colina |
Recent form
Polona Hercog, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Valeriya Strakhova | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Martina Capurro Taborda | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jazmin Ortenzi | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Madalena Matias | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alena Kovackova | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Naiktha Bains | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
Valeriya Strakhova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sofia Costoulas | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Amelie Van Impe | W | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Gabriela Vilar | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Jana Hossam Salah | W | 2-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Malaika Rapolu | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Edda Mamedova | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Chloe Noel | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Maria Lourdes Carle | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anita Sahdiieva | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Polona Hercog | Valeriya Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Alena Kovackova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 0-6, 6-1 |
| Martina Capurro Taborda | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Miriana Tona | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
1-1 W 5-7, 6-1, 6-1, L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Sofia Costoulas | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Queretaro (Mexico), model gave Polona Hercog 85% at -588
Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova: quick answers
Who will win Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Polona Hercog, giving them a 85% chance to win against Valeriya Strakhova (15%).
What is the head-to-head record between Polona Hercog and Valeriya Strakhova?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Valeriya Strakhova 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 at Mexico Queretaro.
Who is in better form, Polona Hercog or Valeriya Strakhova?
Polona Hercog is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Valeriya Strakhova is 7-3 (current streak: 5 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Polona Hercog and Valeriya Strakhova?
Polona Hercog is rated 6784 (WTA #210) and Valeriya Strakhova is rated 6564 (WTA #453). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Polona Hercog vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Polona Hercog is priced at -588 and Valeriya Strakhova at +350, which implies a 85% and 22% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.