Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly
Updated
Yannik Kelm beat Pierre Yves Bailly 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pierre Yves Bailly at 65%. Yannik Kelm leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kelm is 6-4 in their last 10, Bailly 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Pierre Yves Bailly a 65% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pierre Yves Bailly at -233 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yannik Kelm | Pierre Yves Bailly | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6471 | 6414 |
| Tour rank | ATP #588 | ATP #743 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 52-24 | 17-7 |
| UTR | 14.14 | 13.98 |
Head to head
Yannik Kelm leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Yannik Kelm | 6-3, 6-4 | Germany Offenbach |
Recent form
Yannik Kelm, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Matisse Bobichon | L | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Calvin Mueller | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Pierre Yves Bailly | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 31.07.2026 | Tom Sickenberger | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 30.07.2026 | Aaron Funk | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 29.07.2026 | Deney Wassermann | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 25.07.2026 | Patrick Zahraj | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.07.2026 | Johan Nikles | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.07.2026 | David Eichenseher | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.07.2026 | John Hallquist Lithen | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Pierre Yves Bailly, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Yannik Kelm | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 05.02.2026 | Seung Woo Cho | L | 4-6, 2-1 |
| 04.02.2026 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.01.2026 | Moise Kouame | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 17.01.2026 | Mikalai Haliak | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.01.2026 | Kenny De Schepper | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.01.2026 | Maxence Beauge | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.01.2026 | Romain Faucon | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.01.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.01.2026 | Maxence Bertimon | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Offenbach (Germany), model gave Yannik Kelm 35% at +150
Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly: quick answers
Who won Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly?
Yannik Kelm beat Pierre Yves Bailly 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pierre Yves Bailly at 65%.
What is the head-to-head record between Yannik Kelm and Pierre Yves Bailly?
Yannik Kelm leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Yannik Kelm 6-3, 6-4 at Germany Offenbach.
Who is in better form, Yannik Kelm or Pierre Yves Bailly?
Yannik Kelm is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Pierre Yves Bailly is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yannik Kelm and Pierre Yves Bailly?
Yannik Kelm is rated 6471 (ATP #588) and Pierre Yves Bailly is rated 6414 (ATP #743). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yannik Kelm vs Pierre Yves Bailly?
Yannik Kelm is priced at +150 and Pierre Yves Bailly at -233, which implies a 40% and 70% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.