Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Taylor Fritz, giving them a 96% chance to win against Pierre Hugues Herbert (4%). Taylor Fritz leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Herbert is 4-6 in their last 10, Fritz 6-4. At -556, the odds imply 85% for Taylor Fritz, below the model's 96%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taylor Fritz a 96% favorite. At -556 the sportsbook implies 85% for Taylor Fritz, 11 points below the model's 96%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Taylor Fritz at -556 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6743 | 6955 |
| Tour rank | ATP #163 | ATP #11 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 22-24 | 40-23 |
| UTR | 14.36 | 16.13 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1552 | 1930 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Taylor Fritz leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | 6-2, 7-5 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Pierre Hugues Herbert, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Norbert Gombos | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.08.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
Taylor Fritz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-3, 4-6, 13-11 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pierre Hugues Herbert | Taylor Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Dusan Lajovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0-2 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, L 7-6, 5-7, 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Martin Landaluce | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Sebastian Baez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Valentin Royer | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| Zizou Bergs | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-3, W 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-26: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-25: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-24: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-23: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-22: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
- 2026-10-21: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 4% at +375
Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz: quick answers
Who will win Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Taylor Fritz, giving them a 96% chance to win against Pierre Hugues Herbert (4%).
What is the head-to-head record between Pierre Hugues Herbert and Taylor Fritz?
Taylor Fritz leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Taylor Fritz 6-2, 7-5 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Pierre Hugues Herbert or Taylor Fritz?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Taylor Fritz is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pierre Hugues Herbert and Taylor Fritz?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is rated 6743 (ATP #163) and Taylor Fritz is rated 6955 (ATP #11). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Taylor Fritz?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is priced at +375 and Taylor Fritz at -556, which implies a 21% and 85% chance to win. The model rates Taylor Fritz 11 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 85%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.