Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Rafael Tosetto
Updated
Rafael Tosetto beat Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at 67%. Rafael Tosetto leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Chabalgoity is 4-6 in their last 10, Tosetto 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity a 67% favorite. At -114 the sportsbook implies 53% for Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity, 14 points below the model's 67%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at -114 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6247 | 6289 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1378 | ATP #1197 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 6-11 | 29-26 |
| UTR | 13.25 | 12.99 |
Head to head
Rafael Tosetto leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Rafael Tosetto | 6-4, 6-4 | Brazil Paranavai |
Recent form
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tomas Martinez | L | 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Lorenzo Gagliardo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Dante Pagani | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Rafael Tosetto | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Rodrigo Kenichi Abe Hirai | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Mateus Alves | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Leonel Cesar Castro | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 06.09.2026 | Keaton Hance | L | 0-6, 6-7 |
| 28.07.2026 | Juan Sebastian Osorio | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Rafael Tosetto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Tomas Martinez | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tomas Farjat | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Ignacio Monzon | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Jose Pereira | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jefferson Wendler Filho | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | Rafael Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Mateus Alves | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Tomas Martinez | 0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Paranavai (Brazil), model gave Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 73% at -114
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Rafael Tosetto: quick answers
Who won Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Rafael Tosetto?
Rafael Tosetto beat Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 6-4, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Rafael Tosetto?
Rafael Tosetto leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Rafael Tosetto 6-4, 6-4 at Brazil Paranavai.
Who is in better form, Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity or Rafael Tosetto?
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Rafael Tosetto is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity and Rafael Tosetto?
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is rated 6247 (ATP #1378) and Rafael Tosetto is rated 6289 (ATP #1197). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity vs Rafael Tosetto?
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity is priced at -114 and Rafael Tosetto at -125, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity 14 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.