Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda

ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 09:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Pawit Sornlaksup, giving them a 55% chance to win against Ryuki Matsuda (45%). Ryuki Matsuda leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sornlaksup is 5-5 in their last 10, Matsuda 4-6. At +105, the odds imply 49% for Pawit Sornlaksup, below the model's 55%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pawit Sornlaksup a 55% favorite. At +105 the sportsbook implies 49% for Pawit Sornlaksup, 6 points below the model's 55%.

Model
55%
Book
49%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model
45%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pawit Sornlaksup at +105 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pawit SornlaksupRyuki Matsuda
Tennis Gauge rating63926356
Tour rankATP #809ATP #928
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days2-15-4
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record25-2036-36
UTR13.2113.45

Head to head

Ryuki Matsuda leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Ryuki Matsuda7-5, 6-0India Mumbai

Recent form

Pawit Sornlaksup, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Ryuki Matsuda L7-5, 6-0
20.10.2026Aziz Ouakaa W6-3, 7-6
15.10.2026Thanapet Chanta L3-6, 6-3, 6-4
14.10.2026Cahir Warik W6-2, 7-5
12.09.2026Thanapet Chanta L6-4, 6-2
11.09.2026Shintaro Imai W6-4, 6-3
10.09.2026Chen Dong W6-7, 6-4, 6-1
09.09.2026Lleyton Richards W6-2, 6-1
02.09.2026Thantub Suksumrarn L6-0, 6-2
09.08.2026Shunsuke Mitsui L7-6, 1-6, 6-4

Ryuki Matsuda, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Naoya Honda L6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Digvijaypratap Singh L6-2, 6-2
22.10.2026Pawit Sornlaksup W7-5, 6-0
21.10.2026Mukund Sasikumar W6-4, 6-3
13.10.2026Maan Kesharwani L7-5, 6-7, 6-4
13.10.2026Maan Kesarwani L7-5, 6-7, 6-4
05.10.2026Yuta Kikuchi L6-2, 6-3
04.10.2026Sergey Betov W6-4, 6-1
03.10.2026Nino Ehrenschneider L2-6, 6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Kosuke Ogura W7-5, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPawit SornlaksupRyuki Matsuda
Colin Sinclair 0-1
L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-0
Koki Matsuda 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
Manish Sureshkumar 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 6-2, 7-5
Shunsuke Mitsui 0-1
L 7-6, 1-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
Takuya Kumasaka 1-0
W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-0

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Mumbai (IX) (India), model gave Pawit Sornlaksup 55% at +105

Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda: quick answers

Who will win Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Pawit Sornlaksup, giving them a 55% chance to win against Ryuki Matsuda (45%).

What is the head-to-head record between Pawit Sornlaksup and Ryuki Matsuda?

Ryuki Matsuda leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Ryuki Matsuda 7-5, 6-0 at India Mumbai.

Who is in better form, Pawit Sornlaksup or Ryuki Matsuda?

Pawit Sornlaksup is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ryuki Matsuda is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pawit Sornlaksup and Ryuki Matsuda?

Pawit Sornlaksup is rated 6392 (ATP #809) and Ryuki Matsuda is rated 6356 (ATP #928). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pawit Sornlaksup vs Ryuki Matsuda?

Pawit Sornlaksup is priced at +105 and Ryuki Matsuda at -152, which implies a 49% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Pawit Sornlaksup 6 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.