Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Sunday, October 18, 2026, 06:00.

Updated

Yanaki Milev beat Pavel Lagutin 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pavel Lagutin at 68%. Yanaki Milev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10, Milev 7-3.

Result: Yanaki Milev beat Pavel Lagutin 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Pavel Lagutin.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Pavel Lagutin a 68% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
68%
Book
74%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model
32%
Book
34%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pavel Lagutin at -286 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pavel LagutinYanaki Milev
Tennis Gauge rating65606553
Tour rankATP #404ATP #414
Last 10 matches6-47-3
Last 30 days5-28-3
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record79-2332-27
UTR14.3413.71

Head to head

Yanaki Milev leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
18.10.2026Yanaki Milev6-3, 6-4Italy Florence

Recent form

Pavel Lagutin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Yanaki Milev L6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Massimo Giunta L7-5, 6-3
13.10.2026Michael Geerts W6-4, 6-1
12.10.2026Oleksandr Ovcharenko W3-6, 7-5, 6-3
11.10.2026Ignacio Parisca W6-3, 6-0
22.09.2026Iliyan Radulov L7-5, 6-2
21.09.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W7-6, 3-0
20.09.2026Rares Teodor Pieleanu W6-3, 6-0
16.09.2026Alejandro Moro Canas L6-4, 6-3
15.09.2026Enrico Dalla Valle W3-6, 7-6, 6-3

Yanaki Milev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Filippo Romano L6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino W6-1, 6-7, 6-3
19.10.2026Maximus Jones W7-5, 6-3
18.10.2026Pavel Lagutin W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Federico Iannaccone L7-6, 4-6, 7-6
11.10.2026Maxime Chazal W6-4, 7-6
10.10.2026Francesco Passaro L6-2, 6-1
09.10.2026Carlos Sanchez Jover W7-5, 6-3
08.10.2026Buvaysar Gadamauri W6-2, 7-6
06.10.2026Ivan Gakhov W6-2, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPavel LagutinYanaki Milev
Carlos Lopez Montagud 2-0
W 6-2, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 5-0
Enrico Dalla Valle 1-0
W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-0, 7-5
Ignacio Parisca 3-0
W 6-3, 6-0, W 6-1, 6-3, W 6-3, 1-0
1-0
W 7-5, 6-0
Oriol Roca Batalla 0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Pietro Marino 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-17: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Pavel Lagutin 68% at -286

Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev: quick answers

Who won Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev?

Yanaki Milev beat Pavel Lagutin 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Pavel Lagutin at 68%.

What is the head-to-head record between Pavel Lagutin and Yanaki Milev?

Yanaki Milev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Yanaki Milev 6-3, 6-4 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Pavel Lagutin or Yanaki Milev?

Pavel Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yanaki Milev is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavel Lagutin and Yanaki Milev?

Pavel Lagutin is rated 6560 (ATP #404) and Yanaki Milev is rated 6553 (ATP #414). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pavel Lagutin vs Yanaki Milev?

Pavel Lagutin is priced at -286 and Yanaki Milev at +190, which implies a 74% and 34% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.