Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 11:00.

Updated

Vit Kopriva beat Pavel Kotov 6-1, 4-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Vit Kopriva leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kotov is 6-4 in their last 10, Kopriva 3-7.

Result: Vit Kopriva beat Pavel Kotov 6-1, 4-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Vit Kopriva a 68% favorite. At +152 the sportsbook implies 40% for Vit Kopriva, 28 points below the model's 68%.

Model
32%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -33 pts

Model
68%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +28 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Vit Kopriva at +152 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pavel KotovVit Kopriva
Tennis Gauge rating67166819
Tour rankATP #198ATP #110
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days8-31-3
Current streak2 Losses2 Losses
Season record36-1728-34
UTR14.5215.33
Elo (52 weeks)16021678
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Vit Kopriva leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
13.10.2026Vit Kopriva6-1, 4-1China Jinan

Recent form

Pavel Kotov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
13.10.2026Vit Kopriva L6-1, 4-1
10.10.2026Arthur Fils L6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Tallon Griekspoor W6-4, 7-6
06.10.2026Aleksandar Vukic W6-3, 6-3
05.10.2026Martin Damm W7-6, 6-7, 6-3
23.09.2026Shintaro Mochizuki L7-5, 6-3
22.09.2026Luca Castelnuovo W6-7, 7-5, 7-5
20.09.2026Marat Sharipov L6-0, 6-3
19.09.2026Bernard Tomic W7-6, 7-6
18.09.2026Rio Noguchi W6-1, 7-6

Vit Kopriva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-4, 6-3
14.10.2026Keegan Smith L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Pavel Kotov W6-1, 4-1
08.10.2026Zizou Bergs L6-3, 6-1
28.09.2026Alex Molcan L7-6, 2-6, 7-6
25.09.2026Denis Shapovalov L6-2, 6-3
23.09.2026Jia Hu W6-4, 7-5
31.08.2026Tomas Martin Etcheverry L6-3, 6-4, 6-0
22.08.2026Lloyd Harris L7-5, 6-4
20.08.2026Gauthier Onclin W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPavel KotovVit Kopriva
Alexis Galarneau 1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Gauthier Onclin 1-0
W 6-1, 3-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
Keegan Smith 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Pavel Kotov 32% at -189

Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva: quick answers

Who won Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva?

Vit Kopriva beat Pavel Kotov 6-1, 4-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva?

Vit Kopriva leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Vit Kopriva 6-1, 4-1 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Pavel Kotov or Vit Kopriva?

Pavel Kotov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Vit Kopriva is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavel Kotov and Vit Kopriva?

Pavel Kotov is rated 6716 (ATP #198) and Vit Kopriva is rated 6819 (ATP #110). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva?

Pavel Kotov is priced at -189 and Vit Kopriva at +152, which implies a 65% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Vit Kopriva 28 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 40%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.