Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor
Updated
Pavel Kotov beat Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tallon Griekspoor at 78%. Pavel Kotov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kotov is 6-4 in their last 10, Griekspoor 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a 78% favorite. At -213 the sportsbook implies 68% for Tallon Griekspoor, 10 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tallon Griekspoor at -213 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pavel Kotov | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6716 | 6887 |
| Tour rank | ATP #198 | ATP #49 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 10-3 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 36-17 | 23-26 |
| UTR | 14.52 | 15.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1592 | 1788 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Pavel Kotov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | 6-4, 7-6 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Pavel Kotov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Vit Kopriva | L | 6-1, 4-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Martin Damm | W | 7-6, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Bernard Tomic | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
Tallon Griekspoor, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Alexander Zverev | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | W | 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 2-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Max Schoenhaus | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pavel Kotov | Tallon Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-0 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| Max Schoenhaus | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-7, 7-5 |
Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor: quick answers
Who won Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov beat Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tallon Griekspoor at 78%.
What is the head-to-head record between Pavel Kotov and Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Pavel Kotov 6-4, 7-6 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Pavel Kotov or Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Tallon Griekspoor is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavel Kotov and Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov is rated 6716 (ATP #198) and Tallon Griekspoor is rated 6887 (ATP #49). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pavel Kotov vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Pavel Kotov is priced at +171 and Tallon Griekspoor at -213, which implies a 37% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Tallon Griekspoor 10 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.