Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thando Longwe Smit

ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Pablo Perez Ramos, giving them a 75% chance to win against Thando Longwe Smit (25%). Ramos is 6-4 in their last 10, Smit 4-6. At -222, the odds imply 69% for Pablo Perez Ramos, below the model's 75%.

Prediction

The model makes Pablo Perez Ramos a 75% favorite. At -222 the sportsbook implies 69% for Pablo Perez Ramos, 6 points below the model's 75%.

Model
75%
Book
69%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model
25%
Book
40%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pablo Perez Ramos at -222 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pablo Perez RamosThando Longwe Smit
Tennis Gauge rating63426337
Tour rankATP #992ATP #1011
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days2-12-0
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record36-1012-15
UTR13.5412.95

Head to head

Pablo Perez Ramos and Thando Longwe Smit haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Pablo Perez Ramos, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Dan Brand W6-2, 6-2
27.10.2026Alexandre Reco W6-3, 5-2
20.10.2026Liam Hignett L7-6, 6-1
11.09.2026Alexander Chang L6-1, 6-0
10.09.2026Arjun Mehrotra W4-6, 6-4, 6-2
08.09.2026Corban Crowther W6-4, 6-3
01.09.2026Nathan Anthony Barki L6-2, 2-6, 6-4
04.08.2026Hugo Coquelin L6-4, 6-4
03.08.2026Vincent Reisach W6-4, 7-6
02.08.2026Thomas Drayton W6-3, 6-3

Thando Longwe Smit, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Ioannis Xilas W6-2, 6-3
28.10.2026Matthew Thomson W7-5, 6-2
20.09.2026Nerman Fatic L7-6, 6-1
09.09.2026Hazem Naw L6-2, 7-6
02.09.2026Edison Ambarzumjan L6-3, 6-3
26.08.2026Toufik Sahtali L6-2, 6-2
01.06.2026Alec Beckley L6-2, 6-3
31.05.2026Laurence Teunissen W6-2, 6-2
25.05.2026Alec Beckley L6-3, 6-7, 6-2
24.05.2026Michael Zhu W6-3, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Pablo Perez Ramos 75% at -222
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Pablo Perez Ramos 75% at -222
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Heraklion (XI) III (Greece), model gave Pablo Perez Ramos 75% at -222

Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thando Longwe Smit: quick answers

Who will win Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thando Longwe Smit?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Pablo Perez Ramos, giving them a 75% chance to win against Thando Longwe Smit (25%).

Have Pablo Perez Ramos and Thando Longwe Smit played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Pablo Perez Ramos or Thando Longwe Smit?

Pablo Perez Ramos is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Thando Longwe Smit is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pablo Perez Ramos and Thando Longwe Smit?

Pablo Perez Ramos is rated 6342 (ATP #992) and Thando Longwe Smit is rated 6337 (ATP #1011). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pablo Perez Ramos vs Thando Longwe Smit?

Pablo Perez Ramos is priced at -222 and Thando Longwe Smit at +147, which implies a 69% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Pablo Perez Ramos 6 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 69%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.