Stefano Travaglia vs Otto Virtanen
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Otto Virtanen, giving them a 78% chance to win against Stefano Travaglia (22%). Otto Virtanen leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Travaglia is 5-5 in their last 10, Virtanen 5-5.
Prediction
The model makes Otto Virtanen a 78% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Otto Virtanen at -357 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Stefano Travaglia | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6735 | 6775 |
| Tour rank | ATP #169 | ATP #136 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 40-29 | 37-26 |
| UTR | 14.44 | 14.98 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1515 | 1646 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Otto Virtanen leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30.01.2026 | Otto Virtanen | 6-4, 7-5 | Bahrain Manama |
Recent form
Stefano Travaglia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Laslo Djere | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | W | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Maks Kasnikowski | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentin Royer | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Viktor Durasovic | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 10.09.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Stefano Napolitano | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
Otto Virtanen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Matisse Bobichon | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Matteo Martineau | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | L | 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Remy Bertola | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Tiago Pereira | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Lucas Catarina | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-7, 6-7, 6-0, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.08.2026 | Jack Pinnington Jones | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Stefano Travaglia | Otto Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vukic | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Coleman Wong | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 L 7-6, 7-6, W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0-1 L 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 |
| Diego Dedura Palomero | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Henri Squire | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-2 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | 0-2 L 6-2, 7-5, L 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Stefano Napolitano | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Brest (France), model gave Stefano Travaglia 22% at +247
- 2026-10-31: ATP Brest (France), model gave Stefano Travaglia 22% at +247
- 2026-10-30: ATP Brest (France), model gave Stefano Travaglia 22% at +247
Stefano Travaglia vs Otto Virtanen: quick answers
Who will win Stefano Travaglia vs Otto Virtanen?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Otto Virtanen, giving them a 78% chance to win against Stefano Travaglia (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Stefano Travaglia and Otto Virtanen?
Otto Virtanen leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on January 30, 2026, won by Otto Virtanen 6-4, 7-5 at Bahrain Manama.
Who is in better form, Stefano Travaglia or Otto Virtanen?
Stefano Travaglia is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Otto Virtanen is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefano Travaglia and Otto Virtanen?
Stefano Travaglia is rated 6735 (ATP #169) and Otto Virtanen is rated 6775 (ATP #136). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Stefano Travaglia vs Otto Virtanen?
Stefano Travaglia is priced at +247 and Otto Virtanen at -357, which implies a 29% and 78% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.