Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 08:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, giving them a 53% chance to win against Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes (47%). Valdes is 3-7 in their last 10, Tirado 5-5. At +101, the odds imply 50% for Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, below the model's 53%.

Prediction

The model makes Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado a 53% favorite. At +101 the sportsbook implies 50% for Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, 3 points below the model's 53%.

Model
47%
Book
59%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
53%
Book
50%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at +101 · Model track record

Player comparison

Rafael Alfonso De Alba ValdesOswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Tennis Gauge rating61486099
Tour rankATP #1903ATP #2204
Last 10 matches3-75-5
Last 30 days1-11-1
Current streak1 Win1 Win
Season record13-2512-11
UTR12.3812.58

Head to head

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Joshua Peck W6-3, 3-6, 6-2
06.10.2026Dev Javia L6-1, 6-4
30.09.2026Benjamin Lock L6-3, 6-3
08.09.2026Joao Dinis Silva L6-3, 6-1
03.09.2026Martin Van Der Meerschen L6-4, 6-4
02.09.2026Samuel De Felipe Garcia W3-6, 7-6, 6-2
30.07.2026Aditya Vishal Balsekar L5-7, 6-3, 6-3
28.07.2026Gray Voelzke W6-7, 6-2, 7-6
21.07.2026Alvin Nicholas Tudorica L6-1, 6-3
07.07.2026Nav Dayal L6-1, 6-2

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Jack Mcgary W6-4, 6-2
07.10.2026Julio Cesar Porras L6-4, 6-0
28.09.2026David Naharro L6-3, 6-2
27.09.2026Felix Chaverri W6-2, 6-0
21.09.2026Luis Garcia Paez L5-7, 6-0, 1-0
20.09.2026Marc Martin Roca W6-4, 1-6, 1-0
19.09.2026Aaron Paul Samson W6-3, 6-3
30.07.2026Matt Kuhar L6-4, 6-4
29.07.2026Volodymyr Gurenko W5-7, 6-1, 7-6
23.07.2026Mwendwa Mbithi L6-4, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRafael Alfonso De Alba ValdesOswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Diego Eloy Mendez Montiel 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Jack Mcgary 1-0
W 6-3, 5-7, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Jerry Roddick 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Kether Naresh Gonzalez 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-0, 6-2
Matt Kuhar 0-1
L 6-4, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Maxwell Mckennon 0-1
L 6-0, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes 47% at -143
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes 47% at -143
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes 47% at -143
  • 2026-10-29: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes 47% at -135

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado: quick answers

Who will win Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado, giving them a 53% chance to win against Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes (47%).

Have Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes or Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Win).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes is rated 6148 (ATP #1903) and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado is rated 6099 (ATP #2204). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?

Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes is priced at -143 and Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado at +101, which implies a 59% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 3 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.