Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius

ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Oskari Paldanius beat Sergey Petrov 6-1, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Oskari Paldanius leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Petrov is 6-4 in their last 10, Paldanius 9-1.

Result: Oskari Paldanius beat Sergey Petrov 6-1, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Oskari Paldanius a 73% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
27%
Book
38%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model
73%
Book
70%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Oskari Paldanius at -238 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sergey PetrovOskari Paldanius
Tennis Gauge rating63186468
Tour rankATP #1086ATP #596
Last 10 matches6-49-1
Last 30 days2-02-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record32-1929-21
UTR12.9413.67

Head to head

Oskari Paldanius leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
24.10.2026Oskari Paldanius6-4, 6-2Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius6-1, 7-6Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius6-1, 7-6Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI

Recent form

Sergey Petrov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026David Eichenseher L6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026Roman Kharlamov W6-3, 3-6, 6-1
24.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-4, 6-2
23.10.2026Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine W6-4, 6-1
22.10.2026Aaron Funk W6-4, 6-4
21.10.2026Marat Salbiev W6-0, 6-1
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-1, 7-6
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-1, 7-6
15.10.2026Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine W6-3, 6-1
14.10.2026Jorge Plans W6-3, 6-1

Oskari Paldanius, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Arda Azkara L2-6, 6-4, 6-3
24.10.2026Sergey Petrov W6-4, 6-2
23.10.2026Volodymyr Iakubenko W6-2, 6-1
22.10.2026Jannik Maute W7-6, 3-6, 4-0
21.10.2026Rihards Neimanis W6-2, 6-1
18.10.2026Romain Faucon W6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Amr Elsayed Abdou Ahmed Mohamed W2-6, 6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Sergey Petrov W6-1, 7-6
16.10.2026Sergey Petrov W6-1, 7-6
15.10.2026Tymon Litwic W7-5, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSergey PetrovOskari Paldanius
Volodymyr Iakubenko 1-0
W 7-6, 4-6, 1-0
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Sergey Petrov 20% at +160

Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius: quick answers

Who won Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius?

Oskari Paldanius beat Sergey Petrov 6-1, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sergey Petrov and Oskari Paldanius?

Oskari Paldanius leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 24, 2026, won by Oskari Paldanius 6-4, 6-2 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII.

Who is in better form, Sergey Petrov or Oskari Paldanius?

Sergey Petrov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Oskari Paldanius is 9-1 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sergey Petrov and Oskari Paldanius?

Sergey Petrov is rated 6318 (ATP #1086) and Oskari Paldanius is rated 6468 (ATP #596). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius?

Sergey Petrov is priced at +160 and Oskari Paldanius at -238, which implies a 38% and 70% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.