Oskari Paldanius vs Romain Faucon
Updated
Oskari Paldanius beat Romain Faucon 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Romain Faucon at 60%. Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Paldanius is 9-1 in their last 10, Faucon 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Romain Faucon a 60% favorite. At +120 the sportsbook implies 45% for Romain Faucon, 14 points below the model's 60%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Romain Faucon at +120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Oskari Paldanius | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6468 | 6365 |
| Tour rank | ATP #596 | ATP #901 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 12-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 29-21 | 59-27 |
| UTR | 13.67 | 13.45 |
Head to head
Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | 6-3, 6-4 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI |
Recent form
Oskari Paldanius, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Arda Azkara | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Volodymyr Iakubenko | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Jannik Maute | W | 7-6, 3-6, 4-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rihards Neimanis | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Romain Faucon | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Amr Elsayed Abdou Ahmed Mohamed | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tymon Litwic | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
Romain Faucon, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tom Paris | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 18.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Artur Kukasian | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Saveliy Ivanov | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Saveliy Ivanov | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Andrei Kunitsyn | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marat Salbiev | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Anton Arzhankin | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 09.10.2026 | Nicola Senn | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Niklas Waldner | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Oskari Paldanius | Romain Faucon |
|---|---|---|
| Eero Vasa | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-5 |
| Menelaos Efstathiou | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Peter Makk | 1-2 W 6-4, 7-5, L 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, L 6-1, 2-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Oskari Paldanius 40% at -169
Oskari Paldanius vs Romain Faucon: quick answers
Who won Oskari Paldanius vs Romain Faucon?
Oskari Paldanius beat Romain Faucon 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Romain Faucon at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Oskari Paldanius and Romain Faucon?
Oskari Paldanius leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Oskari Paldanius 6-3, 6-4 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI.
Who is in better form, Oskari Paldanius or Romain Faucon?
Oskari Paldanius is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Romain Faucon is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Oskari Paldanius and Romain Faucon?
Oskari Paldanius is rated 6468 (ATP #596) and Romain Faucon is rated 6365 (ATP #901). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Oskari Paldanius vs Romain Faucon?
Oskari Paldanius is priced at -169 and Romain Faucon at +120, which implies a 63% and 45% chance to win. The model rates Romain Faucon 14 points higher than the odds do (60% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.