Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Oscar Brown, giving them a 74% chance to win against Toshiki Karigyo (26%). Oscar Brown leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Brown is 6-4 in their last 10, Karigyo 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Oscar Brown a 74% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Oscar Brown at -556 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Oscar Brown | Toshiki Karigyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6284 | 6107 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1219 | ATP #2148 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 64-25 | 43-30 |
| UTR | 13.13 | 12.61 |
Head to head
Oscar Brown leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Oscar Brown | 6-2, 6-2 | Japan Tanagura |
Recent form
Oscar Brown, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Yuto Oki | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Hugo Hashimoto | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Toshiki Karigyo | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Yan Cheng Chen | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sora Fukuda | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mikal Statham | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Digvijaypratap Singh | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 29.09.2026 | Pavel Skvortcov | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Toshiki Karigyo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Yua Taka | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Oscar Brown | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Hiromasa Koyama | W | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Taiyo Uenoyama | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 10.08.2026 | Ye Chen | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 09.08.2026 | Wen Bo Fan | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.08.2026 | Charles Josshua Kinaadman | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.08.2026 | Tsung Hao Huang | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 05.08.2026 | Ku Keon Kang | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 03.08.2026 | Eric Jr. Olivarez | W | 5-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-26: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-25: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-24: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-23: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-22: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
- 2026-10-21: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Oscar Brown 74% at -556
Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo: quick answers
Who will win Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Oscar Brown, giving them a 74% chance to win against Toshiki Karigyo (26%).
What is the head-to-head record between Oscar Brown and Toshiki Karigyo?
Oscar Brown leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Oscar Brown 6-2, 6-2 at Japan Tanagura.
Who is in better form, Oscar Brown or Toshiki Karigyo?
Oscar Brown is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Toshiki Karigyo is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Oscar Brown and Toshiki Karigyo?
Oscar Brown is rated 6284 (ATP #1219) and Toshiki Karigyo is rated 6107 (ATP #2148). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Oscar Brown vs Toshiki Karigyo?
Oscar Brown is priced at -556 and Toshiki Karigyo at +325, which implies a 85% and 24% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.