Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Updated
Pavel Lagutin beat Oleksandr Ovcharenko 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Oleksandr Ovcharenko at 52%. Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10, Ovcharenko 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Oleksandr Ovcharenko a 52% favorite. At +163 the sportsbook implies 38% for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, 14 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Oleksandr Ovcharenko at +163 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pavel Lagutin | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6560 | 6492 |
| Tour rank | ATP #404 | ATP #542 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 79-23 | 35-21 |
| UTR | 14.34 | 13.71 |
Head to head
Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Pavel Lagutin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Geerts | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ignacio Parisca | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Iliyan Radulov | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | W | 7-6, 3-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Dimitris Sakellaridis | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Christian Langmo | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Lorenzo Angelini | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Filip Misolic | W | 6-4, 3-1 |
| 04.09.2026 | Georgii Kravchenko | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.09.2026 | Robert Strombachs | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Franco Ribero | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pavel Lagutin | Oleksandr Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Franco Ribero | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Lorenzo Angelini | 1-0 W 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Pavel Lagutin 48% at -250
Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko: quick answers
Who won Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Pavel Lagutin beat Oleksandr Ovcharenko 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Oleksandr Ovcharenko at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Pavel Lagutin 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Pavel Lagutin or Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Pavel Lagutin is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Oleksandr Ovcharenko is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavel Lagutin and Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Pavel Lagutin is rated 6560 (ATP #404) and Oleksandr Ovcharenko is rated 6492 (ATP #542). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pavel Lagutin vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Pavel Lagutin is priced at -250 and Oleksandr Ovcharenko at +163, which implies a 71% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Oleksandr Ovcharenko 14 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.