Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka

ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 05:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Takuya Kumasaka, giving them a 66% chance to win against Noritaka Koizumi (34%). Takuya Kumasaka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Koizumi is 4-6 in their last 10, Kumasaka 6-4.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Takuya Kumasaka a 66% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
34%
Book
34%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model
66%
Book
75%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Takuya Kumasaka at -294 · Model track record

Player comparison

Noritaka KoizumiTakuya Kumasaka
Tennis Gauge rating62516437
Tour rankATP #1355ATP #677
Last 10 matches4-66-4
Last 30 days1-01-0
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record41-2428-26
UTR13.0413.61
Elo (52 weeks)–1130
Best surface–Clay
Worst surface–Hard

Head to head

Takuya Kumasaka leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Takuya Kumasaka6-4, 6-1Japan Tanagura

Recent form

Noritaka Koizumi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jumpei Yamasaki L6-2, 6-3
28.10.2026Hikaru Hieda W6-3, 3-6, 6-2
22.10.2026Takuya Kumasaka L6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Riku Takahata W6-1, 6-3
06.09.2026Taisei Ichikawa L6-4, 6-1
03.09.2026Shunsuke Mitsui L6-2, 6-2
01.09.2026Riku Takahata W7-5, 6-3
24.08.2026Kristjan Tamm L6-2, 7-6
23.08.2026Hao Yu Lin W6-1, 6-2
21.08.2026Masamichi Imamura L6-1, 6-0

Takuya Kumasaka, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Sora Fukuda W1-6, 6-2, 6-0
28.10.2026Ryota Tanuma W6-4, 6-3
24.10.2026Yuto Oki L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
23.10.2026Yusuke Kusuhara W6-1, 6-1
22.10.2026Noritaka Koizumi W6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Reiya Komagata W6-1, 6-4
06.09.2026Martin Borisiouk L6-4, 6-2
30.08.2026Joshua Charlton L6-3, 6-4
12.08.2026Hayato Matsuoka L6-4, 6-1
11.08.2026Colin Sinclair W6-2, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentNoritaka KoizumiTakuya Kumasaka
Jumpei Yamasaki 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
Ryota Tanuma 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Shunsuke Mitsui 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 1-0
Taisei Ichikawa 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3
Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul 1-0
W 2-6, 7-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Yuta Kikuchi 1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-0
0-1
L 6-0, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Tanagura (X) (Japan), model gave Noritaka Koizumi 34% at +194

Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka: quick answers

Who will win Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Takuya Kumasaka, giving them a 66% chance to win against Noritaka Koizumi (34%).

What is the head-to-head record between Noritaka Koizumi and Takuya Kumasaka?

Takuya Kumasaka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Takuya Kumasaka 6-4, 6-1 at Japan Tanagura.

Who is in better form, Noritaka Koizumi or Takuya Kumasaka?

Noritaka Koizumi is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Takuya Kumasaka is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Noritaka Koizumi and Takuya Kumasaka?

Noritaka Koizumi is rated 6251 (ATP #1355) and Takuya Kumasaka is rated 6437 (ATP #677). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Noritaka Koizumi vs Takuya Kumasaka?

Noritaka Koizumi is priced at +194 and Takuya Kumasaka at -294, which implies a 34% and 75% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.