Tyler Mercier vs Noah Schachter
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Noah Schachter, giving them a 62% chance to win against Tyler Mercier (38%). Noah Schachter leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mercier is 4-5 in their last 10, Schachter 4-6. At +446, the odds imply 18% for Tyler Mercier, below the model's 38%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Noah Schachter a 62% favorite. At +446 the sportsbook implies 18% for Tyler Mercier, 20 points below the model's 38%.
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model minus book: -29 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tyler Mercier at +446 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tyler Mercier | Noah Schachter | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6048 | 6230 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2568 | ATP #1456 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 4-5 | 11-17 |
| UTR | 12.03 | 12.79 |
Head to head
Noah Schachter leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Noah Schachter | 6-3, 7-6 | Bermuda Pembroke |
Recent form
Tyler Mercier, last 9
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Noah Schachter | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Pedro Petroski Rocha | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Tristan Mccormick | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Gonzalo Zeitune | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Valentin Guadagno | W | 6-3, 3-6, 1-0 |
| 17.08.2026 | Aadarsh Tripathi | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 16.08.2026 | Lukas Maskow | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 25.07.2026 | Maciej Kazanowski | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.07.2026 | Tighe Brunetti | L | 3-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
Noah Schachter, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Tyler Mercier | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jeffrey Fradkin | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Manish Sureshkumar | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | S D Prajwal Dev | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Marlon Vankan | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Allan Gatoto | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Florent Bax | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Felix Corwin | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 01.09.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Jack Anthrop | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Pembroke (Bermuda), model gave Tyler Mercier 38% at +446
Tyler Mercier vs Noah Schachter: quick answers
Who will win Tyler Mercier vs Noah Schachter?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Noah Schachter, giving them a 62% chance to win against Tyler Mercier (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Tyler Mercier and Noah Schachter?
Noah Schachter leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Noah Schachter 6-3, 7-6 at Bermuda Pembroke.
Who is in better form, Tyler Mercier or Noah Schachter?
Tyler Mercier is 4-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Noah Schachter is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tyler Mercier and Noah Schachter?
Tyler Mercier is rated 6048 (ATP #2568) and Noah Schachter is rated 6230 (ATP #1456). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tyler Mercier vs Noah Schachter?
Tyler Mercier is priced at +446 and Noah Schachter at -1000, which implies a 18% and 91% chance to win. The model rates Tyler Mercier 20 points higher than the odds do (38% vs 18%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.