Noah Karma vs Taisei Ichikawa
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Taisei Ichikawa, giving them a 55% chance to win against Noah Karma (45%). Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Karma is 4-6 in their last 10, Ichikawa 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taisei Ichikawa a 55% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Taisei Ichikawa at -156 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Noah Karma | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6250 | 6374 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1360 | ATP #876 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 25-18 | 40-33 |
| UTR | 13.23 | 13.26 |
Head to head
Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Taisei Ichikawa | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 | Singapore Singapore |
Recent form
Noah Karma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Maxime Janvier | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Taisei Ichikawa | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Shaheed Alam | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Jack Karlsson Wistrand | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.08.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.08.2026 | Alessandro Hunziker | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 16.08.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | L | 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 10.08.2026 | Nicola Senn | L | 4-6, 6-2, 1-0 |
| 09.08.2026 | Luc Wieland | W | 7-5, 4-6, 1-0 |
| 28.07.2026 | Arthur Bellegy | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
Taisei Ichikawa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ergi Kirkin | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lorenzo Lorusso | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Noah Karma | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ren Nakamura | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Blake Bayldon | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yuquan Jin | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Anthony Susanto | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 14.09.2026 | Timofei Derepasko | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-26: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-25: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-24: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-23: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-22: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
- 2026-10-21: ATP Singapore (Singapore), model gave Noah Karma 45% at +108
Noah Karma vs Taisei Ichikawa: quick answers
Who will win Noah Karma vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Taisei Ichikawa, giving them a 55% chance to win against Noah Karma (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Noah Karma and Taisei Ichikawa?
Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Taisei Ichikawa 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 at Singapore Singapore.
Who is in better form, Noah Karma or Taisei Ichikawa?
Noah Karma is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Taisei Ichikawa is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Noah Karma and Taisei Ichikawa?
Noah Karma is rated 6250 (ATP #1360) and Taisei Ichikawa is rated 6374 (ATP #876). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Noah Karma vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Noah Karma is priced at +108 and Taisei Ichikawa at -156, which implies a 48% and 61% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.