Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Updated
Nikoloz Basilashvili beat Taro Daniel 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Daniel is 4-6 in their last 10, Basilashvili 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili a 52% favorite. At +154 the sportsbook implies 39% for Taro Daniel, 9 points below the model's 48%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Taro Daniel at +154 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Taro Daniel | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6725 | 6843 |
| Tour rank | ATP #184 | ATP #87 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-20 | 36-35 |
| UTR | 15.23 | 15.55 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1597 | 1630 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 6-2, 7-5 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Taro Daniel, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Fabian Marozsan | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Dane Sweeny | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Jake Delaney | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
Nikoloz Basilashvili, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 18.10.2026 | Adam Walton | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-3, 2-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Taro Daniel | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Shevchenko | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-0, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Andre Ilagan | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 7-5 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Federico Cina | 1-0 W 7-6, 0-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Jan Choinski | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 1-0 |
| Raul Brancaccio | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 2-1 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Taro Daniel 48% at +154
Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili: quick answers
Who won Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Nikoloz Basilashvili beat Taro Daniel 6-2, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Taro Daniel and Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-2, 7-5 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Taro Daniel or Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Taro Daniel is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Taro Daniel and Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Taro Daniel is rated 6725 (ATP #184) and Nikoloz Basilashvili is rated 6843 (ATP #87). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Taro Daniel vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Taro Daniel is priced at +154 and Nikoloz Basilashvili at -213, which implies a 39% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Taro Daniel 9 points higher than the odds do (48% vs 39%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.