Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Bilozertsev

ATP Heraklion (XI) (Greece), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Nikita Bilozertsev beat Pavlos Tsitsipas 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Nikita Bilozertsev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tsitsipas is 4-6 in their last 10, Bilozertsev 5-5.

Result: Nikita Bilozertsev beat Pavlos Tsitsipas 7-6, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nikita Bilozertsev a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
29%
Book
31%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
71%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nikita Bilozertsev at -357 · Model track record

Player comparison

Pavlos TsitsipasNikita Bilozertsev
Tennis Gauge rating62766373
Tour rankATP #1247ATP #878
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days2-32-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record28-3225-24
UTR13.1413.42

Head to head

Nikita Bilozertsev leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Nikita Bilozertsev7-6, 6-3Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Pavlos Tsitsipas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jan Sadzik L6-3, 6-1
28.10.2026Jakub Filip W7-6, 6-4
22.10.2026Julio Cesar Porras L6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Alexandre Aubriot W6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Nikita Bilozertsev L7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Nicholas Campbell W5-7, 7-5, 7-6
21.09.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L6-3, 6-1
20.09.2026Tiago Pereira W6-7, 7-5, 7-6
13.09.2026Robert Strombachs L6-7, 7-6, 6-1
08.09.2026Niccolo Catini L6-3, 6-4

Nikita Bilozertsev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
17.10.2026Luka Talan Lopatic L6-3, 5-3
16.10.2026Matyas Fuele W6-2, 4-0
13.10.2026Anuj Watane W6-0, 6-2
09.10.2026Amit Vales L6-3, 6-5
08.10.2026Pavlos Tsitsipas W7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Georgios Dimitriou W6-1, 6-1
18.09.2026Marko Topo L6-7, 6-2, 10-5
17.09.2026Marko Nikolic W6-3, 6-2
08.09.2026Mate Valkusz L7-5, 6-4
05.09.2026Branko Djuric L6-1, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Bilozertsev: quick answers

Who won Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Bilozertsev?

Nikita Bilozertsev beat Pavlos Tsitsipas 7-6, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Nikita Bilozertsev?

Nikita Bilozertsev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Nikita Bilozertsev 7-6, 6-3 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Pavlos Tsitsipas or Nikita Bilozertsev?

Pavlos Tsitsipas is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Nikita Bilozertsev is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Pavlos Tsitsipas and Nikita Bilozertsev?

Pavlos Tsitsipas is rated 6276 (ATP #1247) and Nikita Bilozertsev is rated 6373 (ATP #878). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Nikita Bilozertsev?

Pavlos Tsitsipas is priced at +220 and Nikita Bilozertsev at -357, which implies a 31% and 78% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.