Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

ATP Lyon (X) (France), Indoors. Sunday, October 18, 2026, 06:15.

Updated

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer beat Ugo Blanchet 3-6, 6-1, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Blanchet is 6-4 in their last 10, Kjaer 6-4.

Result: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer beat Ugo Blanchet 3-6, 6-1, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nicolai Budkov Kjaer a 61% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
39%
Book
43%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model
61%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at -189 · Model track record

Player comparison

Ugo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer
Tennis Gauge rating66886762
Tour rankATP #236ATP #146
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days5-34-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record25-3136-35
UTR14.3314.46
Elo (52 weeks)15021579
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
18.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer3-6, 6-1, 6-3France Lyon

Recent form

Ugo Blanchet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Martin Damm L6-4, 7-6
27.10.2026Felix Balshaw W3-6, 6-3, 6-4
26.10.2026Vadym Ursu W7-5, 6-2
25.10.2026Samir Hamza Reguig W6-3, 6-1
18.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer L3-6, 6-1, 6-3
15.10.2026Jerome Kym L6-1, 6-3
13.10.2026Tom Paris W7-6, 6-3
12.10.2026Daniel De Jonge W6-4, 6-3
11.10.2026Nicolas Tepmahc W6-2, 6-1
01.10.2026Clement Chidekh L6-4, 3-6, 6-2

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Federico Cina L6-3, 6-3
27.10.2026Kilian Feldbausch W6-7, 6-3, 6-4
19.10.2026Clement Tabur L6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Ugo Blanchet W3-6, 6-1, 6-3
17.10.2026Matteo Martineau L7-5, 7-6
16.10.2026Hugo Gaston W6-1, 7-6
15.10.2026Moise Kouame W6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Jakub Paul W6-4, 7-5
01.10.2026Felix Balshaw L7-5, 4-6, 7-6
29.09.2026Yanis Ghazouani Durand W6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentUgo BlanchetNicolai Budkov Kjaer
Billy Harris 1-0
W 7-5, 7-6
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5
Felix Balshaw 1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
1-1
L 7-5, 4-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-4
Henrique Rocha 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
Hugo Gaston 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
2-0
W 6-1, 7-6, W 6-2, 3-6, 6-4
Luca Nardi 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-0
Otto Virtanen 0-2
L 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 7-6
2-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 7-5, W 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, W 4-6, 6-2, 7-6
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
Titouan Droguet 0-1
L 4-6, 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-7, 6-2, 6-4
Yosuke Watanuki 1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 3-0
1-0
W 6-7, 7-5, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-17: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Ugo Blanchet 39% at +135

Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: quick answers

Who won Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer beat Ugo Blanchet 3-6, 6-1, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Ugo Blanchet and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 at France Lyon.

Who is in better form, Ugo Blanchet or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Ugo Blanchet is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Ugo Blanchet and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Ugo Blanchet is rated 6688 (ATP #236) and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is rated 6762 (ATP #146). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Ugo Blanchet vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?

Ugo Blanchet is priced at +135 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at -189, which implies a 43% and 65% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.