Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nick Hardt, giving them a 62% chance to win against Valerio Aboian (38%). Aboian is 6-4 in their last 10, Hardt 5-5.
Prediction
The model makes Nick Hardt a 62% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nick Hardt at -175 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valerio Aboian | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6588 | 6602 |
| Tour rank | ATP #372 | ATP #349 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 56-34 | 40-15 |
| UTR | 13.82 | 14.02 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1386 | 1425 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Valerio Aboian and Nick Hardt haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Valerio Aboian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Matias Soto | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Facundo Mena | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
Nick Hardt, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Juan Manuel La Serna | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Francisco Comesana | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | W | 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Omar Kandil | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.09.2026 | Karim Mabrouk | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.09.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | L | 4-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 25.08.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valerio Aboian | Nick Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandez | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
2-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-1, W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Felipe Meligeni Alves | 1-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 7-5, L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Fermin Tenti | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | 0-2 L 6-1, 6-1, L 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
2-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 7-5, W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Juan Estevez | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 0-2 L 4-6, 6-1, 6-0, L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-1 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, L 6-2, 2-0 |
| Matias Soto | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-4, W 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Valerio Aboian 38% at +128
- 2026-10-31: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Valerio Aboian 38% at +128
- 2026-10-30: ATP Guayaquil (XI) (Ecuador), model gave Valerio Aboian 38% at +128
Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt: quick answers
Who will win Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nick Hardt, giving them a 62% chance to win against Valerio Aboian (38%).
Have Valerio Aboian and Nick Hardt played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Valerio Aboian or Nick Hardt?
Valerio Aboian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Nick Hardt is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valerio Aboian and Nick Hardt?
Valerio Aboian is rated 6588 (ATP #372) and Nick Hardt is rated 6602 (ATP #349). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt?
Valerio Aboian is priced at +128 and Nick Hardt at -175, which implies a 44% and 64% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.