Nathan Cox vs Paul Colin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paul Colin, giving them a 70% chance to win against Nathan Cox (30%). Paul Colin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cox is 5-5 in their last 10, Colin 9-1. At -189, the odds imply 65% for Paul Colin, below the model's 70%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Paul Colin a 70% favorite. At -189 the sportsbook implies 65% for Paul Colin, 5 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Paul Colin at -189 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Nathan Cox | Paul Colin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6255 | 6252 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1331 | ATP #1353 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 22-17 | 34-7 |
| UTR | 13.18 | 13.4 |
Head to head
Paul Colin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Paul Colin | 6-4, 6-1 | Bermuda Pembroke |
Recent form
Nathan Cox, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Paul Colin | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alexander Bernard | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Luigi Valletta | L | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Antonin Witz | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Shu Matsuoka | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Matthew Michibata | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 19.08.2026 | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.08.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 10.08.2026 | Mateo Del Pino | L | 6-4, 1-6, 1-0 |
| 09.08.2026 | Diego Giraldo | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
Paul Colin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Nathan Cox | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Leon Achurra Correa | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Etienne Donnet | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Toby Martin | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Daniel Domingos | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Lars Goran Verwerft | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Mert Naci Turker | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Hudson Baxter | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lucca Liu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Octavian Andrei Puscas | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Nathan Cox | Paul Colin |
|---|---|---|
| Shu Matsuoka | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-0 |
0-1 L 0-6, 4-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Pembroke (Bermuda), model gave Nathan Cox 30% at +130
Nathan Cox vs Paul Colin: quick answers
Who will win Nathan Cox vs Paul Colin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Paul Colin, giving them a 70% chance to win against Nathan Cox (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Nathan Cox and Paul Colin?
Paul Colin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Paul Colin 6-4, 6-1 at Bermuda Pembroke.
Who is in better form, Nathan Cox or Paul Colin?
Nathan Cox is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Paul Colin is 9-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Nathan Cox and Paul Colin?
Nathan Cox is rated 6255 (ATP #1331) and Paul Colin is rated 6252 (ATP #1353). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Nathan Cox vs Paul Colin?
Nathan Cox is priced at +130 and Paul Colin at -189, which implies a 43% and 65% chance to win. The model rates Paul Colin 5 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.