Noemi La Cagnina vs Natalia Kowalczyk
Updated
Noemi La Cagnina beat Natalia Kowalczyk 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Noemi La Cagnina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cagnina is 7-3 in their last 10, Kowalczyk 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Noemi La Cagnina a 71% favorite. At +450 the sportsbook implies 18% for Natalia Kowalczyk, 10 points below the model's 29%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Natalia Kowalczyk at +450 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Noemi La Cagnina | Natalia Kowalczyk | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6011 | 5663 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2068 | WTA #3390 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 2-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 23-19 | 4-6 |
| UTR | 9.85 | 8.4 |
Head to head
Noemi La Cagnina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Noemi La Cagnina | 6-3, 6-3 | Greece Heraklion |
Recent form
Noemi La Cagnina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Azzurra Cremonini | L | 3-6, 6-1, 10-8 |
| 26.10.2026 | Anna Idaszewska | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Natalia Kowalczyk | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Styliani Marinaki | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Nuria Brancaccio | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Summer Yardley | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Maria Rentoumi | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Sherin Scheerle | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Bianca Elena Barbulescu | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Anastasia Preda | W | 6-0, 4-6, 10-5 |
Natalia Kowalczyk, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Freya Peet | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Noemi La Cagnina | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Maria Rentoumi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Greta Nemcsek | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Natalia Klys | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Tereza Stepankova | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 30.08.2026 | Sarah Twardowska | L | 2-6, 7-6, 10-6 |
| 09.08.2026 | Anna Kmiecik | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 08.08.2026 | Hanna Jankowska | W | 3-6, 7-6, 1-0 |
| 05.04.2026 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Noemi La Cagnina | Natalia Kowalczyk |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Rentoumi | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), model gave Noemi La Cagnina 71% at -1000
Noemi La Cagnina vs Natalia Kowalczyk: quick answers
Who won Noemi La Cagnina vs Natalia Kowalczyk?
Noemi La Cagnina beat Natalia Kowalczyk 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Noemi La Cagnina and Natalia Kowalczyk?
Noemi La Cagnina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Noemi La Cagnina 6-3, 6-3 at Greece Heraklion.
Who is in better form, Noemi La Cagnina or Natalia Kowalczyk?
Noemi La Cagnina is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Natalia Kowalczyk is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Noemi La Cagnina and Natalia Kowalczyk?
Noemi La Cagnina is rated 6011 (WTA #2068) and Natalia Kowalczyk is rated 5663 (WTA #3390). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Noemi La Cagnina vs Natalia Kowalczyk?
Noemi La Cagnina is priced at -1000 and Natalia Kowalczyk at +450, which implies a 91% and 18% chance to win. The model rates Natalia Kowalczyk 10 points higher than the odds do (29% vs 18%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.