Mykyta Mashtakov vs Noah Lopez

ATP Bol II (Croatia), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

Mykyta Mashtakov beat Noah Lopez 6-3, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mykyta Mashtakov leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Mashtakov is 9-1 in their last 10, Lopez 6-4.

Result: Mykyta Mashtakov beat Noah Lopez 6-3, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mykyta Mashtakov a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
79%
Book
83%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Noah Lopez +290
Model
21%
Book
26%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mykyta Mashtakov at -500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mykyta MashtakovNoah Lopez
Tennis Gauge rating64616338
Tour rankATP #618ATP #1008
Last 10 matches9-16-4
Last 30 days9-18-4
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record49-2032-21
UTR13.7813.43

Head to head

Mykyta Mashtakov leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov6-3, 6-1Croatia Bol II
16.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov6-3, 6-1Croatia Bol II
04.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov6-0, 6-4Croatia Sibenik

Recent form

Mykyta Mashtakov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Gilberto Ravasio W6-4, 6-4
28.10.2026Jiri Cizek W6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Kristijan Juhas L7-5, 6-7, 7-5
16.10.2026Noah Lopez W6-3, 6-1
16.10.2026Noah Lopez W6-3, 6-1
15.10.2026Henry Best W5-7, 6-0, 6-2
13.10.2026Aljaz Jeran W6-3, 6-4
04.10.2026Noah Lopez W6-0, 6-4
03.10.2026Charles Bertimon W7-5, 6-3
02.10.2026Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg W2-6, 7-6, 7-6

Noah Lopez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L6-3, 6-1
16.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L6-3, 6-1
15.10.2026Viacheslav Bielinskyi W6-3, 6-2
14.10.2026Karlo Kajin W7-6, 6-1
07.10.2026Jan Kupcic L6-2, 6-2
04.10.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L6-0, 6-4
03.10.2026Martin Van Der Meerschen W1-6, 6-3, 6-3
02.10.2026Filip Krolo W6-4, 6-2
01.10.2026Daniele Rapagnetta W5-3
29.09.2026Bozo Barun W5-7, 7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMykyta MashtakovNoah Lopez
Karlo Kajin 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Viacheslav Bielinskyi 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Bol II (Croatia), model gave Mykyta Mashtakov 79% at -500

Mykyta Mashtakov vs Noah Lopez: quick answers

Who won Mykyta Mashtakov vs Noah Lopez?

Mykyta Mashtakov beat Noah Lopez 6-3, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mykyta Mashtakov and Noah Lopez?

Mykyta Mashtakov leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Mykyta Mashtakov 6-3, 6-1 at Croatia Bol II.

Who is in better form, Mykyta Mashtakov or Noah Lopez?

Mykyta Mashtakov is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Noah Lopez is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mykyta Mashtakov and Noah Lopez?

Mykyta Mashtakov is rated 6461 (ATP #618) and Noah Lopez is rated 6338 (ATP #1008). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mykyta Mashtakov vs Noah Lopez?

Mykyta Mashtakov is priced at -500 and Noah Lopez at +290, which implies a 83% and 26% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.