Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Monday, October 12, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Milos Karol beat Oleksii Krutykh 6-1, 5-7, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Milos Karol leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Karol is 5-5 in their last 10, Krutykh 6-4.

Result: Milos Karol beat Oleksii Krutykh 6-1, 5-7, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Milos Karol a 53% favorite. At +122 the sportsbook implies 45% for Milos Karol, 8 points below the model's 53%.

Model
53%
Book
45%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model
47%
Book
64%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Milos Karol at +122 · Model track record

Player comparison

Milos KarolOleksii Krutykh
Tennis Gauge rating65786553
Tour rankATP #386ATP #412
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days1-15-2
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record28-1847-30
UTR14.0414.2
Elo (52 weeks)1393–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Milos Karol leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Milos Karol6-1, 5-7, 7-6Portugal Maia

Recent form

Milos Karol, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Florian Broska W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh W6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Tiago Cacao L6-4, 6-4
16.06.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
15.06.2026Luca Castelnuovo W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.06.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-6, 6-1
07.06.2026Nicolas Alvarez Varona L6-7, 6-4, 7-6

Oleksii Krutykh, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Carlos Taberner L6-3, 4-6, 7-6
18.10.2026Pedro Liborio W6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Milos Karol L6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Diogo Marques W6-4, 6-4
08.10.2026Luka Mikrut L6-7, 6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Javier Barranco Cosano W1-6, 6-4, 6-4
05.10.2026Filip Pieczonka W6-2, 4-6, 6-0
04.10.2026Francisco Rocha W6-7, 6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Petros Tsitsipas L7-6, 6-4
19.09.2026Menelaos Efstathiou W6-2, 1-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMilos KarolOleksii Krutykh
Adrian Oetzbach 0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
Andrej Nedic 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 1-6, 6-2, 6-4
Filip Pieczonka 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-0
Michael Vrbensky 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 2-6, 6-2, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Milos Karol 53% at +122

Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh: quick answers

Who won Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh?

Milos Karol beat Oleksii Krutykh 6-1, 5-7, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Milos Karol and Oleksii Krutykh?

Milos Karol leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Milos Karol 6-1, 5-7, 7-6 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Milos Karol or Oleksii Krutykh?

Milos Karol is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Oleksii Krutykh is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Milos Karol and Oleksii Krutykh?

Milos Karol is rated 6578 (ATP #386) and Oleksii Krutykh is rated 6553 (ATP #412). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Milos Karol vs Oleksii Krutykh?

Milos Karol is priced at +122 and Oleksii Krutykh at -175, which implies a 45% and 64% chance to win. The model rates Milos Karol 8 points higher than the odds do (53% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.