Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Stefanos Sakellaridis, giving them a 63% chance to win against Mikhail Kukushkin (37%). Mikhail Kukushkin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kukushkin is 3-7 in their last 10, Sakellaridis 3-7. At +259, the odds imply 28% for Mikhail Kukushkin, below the model's 37%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Stefanos Sakellaridis a 63% favorite. At +259 the sportsbook implies 28% for Mikhail Kukushkin, 9 points below the model's 37%.

Model
37%
Book
28%

Model minus book: +9 pts

Model
63%
Book
78%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mikhail Kukushkin at +259 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mikhail KukushkinStefanos Sakellaridis
Tennis Gauge rating66876731
Tour rankATP #237ATP #172
Last 10 matches3-73-7
Last 30 days1-02-4
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record27-2143-29
UTR14.2214.63
Elo (52 weeks)15521591
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Mikhail Kukushkin leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Mikhail Kukushkin7-6, 7-6Kazakhstan Almaty

Recent form

Mikhail Kukushkin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Stefanos Tsitsipas L6-1, 6-2
19.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis W7-6, 7-6
20.06.2026Damir Dzumhur L6-2, 6-1
13.06.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-3
06.05.2026Mark Lajal L7-6, 6-7, 7-6
04.05.2026Tianhui Zhang W7-6, 6-3
29.04.2026Coleman Wong L6-3, 6-3
23.04.2026Leandro Riedi L6-3, 6-2
21.04.2026Pavel Kotov W1-6, 6-2, 6-3
16.04.2026Blake Ellis L6-3, 7-6

Stefanos Sakellaridis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Coleman Wong L6-1, 6-3
27.10.2026Timofey Skatov W6-2, 6-2
19.10.2026Mikhail Kukushkin L7-6, 7-6
18.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko W7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Petr Bar Biryukov W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Keegan Smith L7-6, 3-6, 6-3
05.10.2026Timofey Skatov L6-3, 6-2
29.09.2026Yuta Shimizu L7-6, 6-2
20.09.2026Norbert Gombos L6-4, 7-6
19.09.2026Alex Molcan L6-1, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMikhail KukushkinStefanos Sakellaridis
Coleman Wong 0-2
L 6-3, 6-3, L 6-7, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Enrico Dalla Valle 0-1
L 6-1, 3-6, 7-5
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Luca Van Assche 1-1
L 6-3, 6-2, W 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-1, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Mikhail Kukushkin 28% at +233
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Mikhail Kukushkin 28% at +233

Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis: quick answers

Who will win Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Stefanos Sakellaridis, giving them a 63% chance to win against Mikhail Kukushkin (37%).

What is the head-to-head record between Mikhail Kukushkin and Stefanos Sakellaridis?

Mikhail Kukushkin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Mikhail Kukushkin 7-6, 7-6 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, Mikhail Kukushkin or Stefanos Sakellaridis?

Mikhail Kukushkin is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Stefanos Sakellaridis is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mikhail Kukushkin and Stefanos Sakellaridis?

Mikhail Kukushkin is rated 6687 (ATP #237) and Stefanos Sakellaridis is rated 6731 (ATP #172). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mikhail Kukushkin vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?

Mikhail Kukushkin is priced at +259 and Stefanos Sakellaridis at -345, which implies a 28% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Mikhail Kukushkin 9 points higher than the odds do (37% vs 28%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.