William Jansen vs Mikael Arseneault
Updated
William Jansen beat Mikael Arseneault 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. William Jansen leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jansen is 7-3 in their last 10, Arseneault 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes William Jansen a 82% favorite. At -370 the sportsbook implies 79% for William Jansen, 3 points below the model's 82%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of William Jansen at -370 · Model track record
Player comparison
| William Jansen | Mikael Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6442 | 6320 |
| Tour rank | ATP #661 | ATP #1078 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-14 | 25-23 |
| UTR | 13.9 | 13.22 |
Head to head
William Jansen leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | William Jansen | 6-4, 7-5 | USA Lexington |
Recent form
William Jansen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Andrew Johnson | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Xavier Calvelo | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Mikael Arseneault | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jack Anthrop | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Sean Daryabeigi | L | 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Evan Bynoe | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Corey Craig | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Seydina Andre | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 30.07.2026 | Billy Blaydes | L | 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 29.07.2026 | Louis Bowden | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Mikael Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Rodrigo Fernandes | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matt Kuhar | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | William Jansen | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kai Cowcher | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kyle Mcnally | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Antoine Mayoral | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Nikita Volonski | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Jelani Sarr | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Matisse Farzam | L | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 28.07.2026 | James Trotter | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave William Jansen 82% at -370
- 2026-10-13: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave William Jansen 82% at -385
William Jansen vs Mikael Arseneault: quick answers
Who won William Jansen vs Mikael Arseneault?
William Jansen beat Mikael Arseneault 6-4, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between William Jansen and Mikael Arseneault?
William Jansen leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by William Jansen 6-4, 7-5 at USA Lexington.
Who is in better form, William Jansen or Mikael Arseneault?
William Jansen is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Mikael Arseneault is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate William Jansen and Mikael Arseneault?
William Jansen is rated 6442 (ATP #661) and Mikael Arseneault is rated 6320 (ATP #1078). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for William Jansen vs Mikael Arseneault?
William Jansen is priced at -370 and Mikael Arseneault at +240, which implies a 79% and 29% chance to win. The model rates William Jansen 3 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 79%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.