Rodrigo Leal vs Mihai Alexandru Coman
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mihai Alexandru Coman, giving them a 63% chance to win against Rodrigo Leal (37%). Rodrigo Leal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Leal is 2-8 in their last 10, Coman 4-6. At +195, the odds imply 34% for Rodrigo Leal, below the model's 37%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mihai Alexandru Coman a 63% favorite. At +195 the sportsbook implies 34% for Rodrigo Leal, 3 points below the model's 37%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rodrigo Leal at +195 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Rodrigo Leal | Mihai Alexandru Coman | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6185 | 6157 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1683 | ATP #1844 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 2-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 13-17 | 21-15 |
| UTR | 12.18 | 13.01 |
Head to head
Rodrigo Leal leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | 6-3, 7-5 | EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Rodrigo Leal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Diego Fernandez Flores | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jake Fellows | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 08.09.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.08.2026 | Tiago Pereira | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.07.2026 | Pavlos Tsitsipas | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
Mihai Alexandru Coman, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Harrison McElnea | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Nathan Mansfield | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jesse De Jager | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Diogo Marques | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Taymur Muhammad | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Rodrigo Leal | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Aleksandar Tolev | L | 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Aleksandar Tolev | L | 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jasza Szajrych | W | 6-7, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Nikola Siychanov | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Rodrigo Leal | Mihai Alexandru Coman |
|---|---|---|
| Diogo Marques | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Jesse De Jager | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Taymur Muhammad | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
Rodrigo Leal vs Mihai Alexandru Coman: quick answers
Who will win Rodrigo Leal vs Mihai Alexandru Coman?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mihai Alexandru Coman, giving them a 63% chance to win against Rodrigo Leal (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Rodrigo Leal and Mihai Alexandru Coman?
Rodrigo Leal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Rodrigo Leal 6-3, 7-5 at EUR UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Rodrigo Leal or Mihai Alexandru Coman?
Rodrigo Leal is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mihai Alexandru Coman is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Rodrigo Leal and Mihai Alexandru Coman?
Rodrigo Leal is rated 6185 (ATP #1683) and Mihai Alexandru Coman is rated 6157 (ATP #1844). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Rodrigo Leal vs Mihai Alexandru Coman?
Rodrigo Leal is priced at +195 and Mihai Alexandru Coman at -303, which implies a 34% and 75% chance to win. The model rates Rodrigo Leal 3 points higher than the odds do (37% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.