Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera

ATP Antofagasta (IX) (Chile), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 08:30.

Updated

Miguel Tobon beat Tomas Barrios Vera 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tomas Barrios Vera at 81%. Miguel Tobon leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tobon is 6-4 in their last 10, Vera 5-5.

Result: Miguel Tobon beat Tomas Barrios Vera 3-6, 7-6, 7-6. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Tomas Barrios Vera.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tomas Barrios Vera a 81% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
19%
Book
27%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
81%
Book
79%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tomas Barrios Vera at -385 · Model track record

Player comparison

Miguel TobonTomas Barrios Vera
Tennis Gauge rating65996729
Tour rankATP #352ATP #176
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days2-24-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record31-2832-32
UTR14.1114.75
Elo (52 weeks)13101576
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Miguel Tobon leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Miguel Tobon3-6, 7-6, 7-6Chile Antofagasta

Recent form

Miguel Tobon, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo L6-3, 6-3
26.10.2026Daniel Salazar W6-2, 6-3
25.10.2026Federico Zeballos W6-1, 6-4
23.10.2026Valerio Aboian L1-6, 7-6, 6-2
23.10.2026Nicolas Mejia W4-6, 6-2, 7-6
21.10.2026Gonzalo Villanueva W6-1, 2-6, 6-4
09.10.2026Juan Carlos Prado Angelo L6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Tomas Barrios Vera W3-6, 7-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Thiago Cigarran W4-6, 6-4, 6-1
29.09.2026Juan Bautista Torres L6-2, 3-6, 6-1

Tomas Barrios Vera, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo L6-1, 6-3
27.10.2026Juan Estevez W6-2, 7-6
20.10.2026Nicolas Jarry L6-4, 6-7, 6-2
08.10.2026Miguel Tobon L3-6, 7-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Franco Roncadelli W6-4, 6-2
03.10.2026Guido Ivan Justo L4-6, 6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida W6-1, 3-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Juan Bautista Torres W6-2, 6-3
29.09.2026Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez W6-1, 6-1
31.08.2026Alexander Blockx L6-3, 6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMiguel TobonTomas Barrios Vera
Alexis Galarneau 0-1
L 7-6, 2-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Juan Bautista Torres 0-3
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-1, L 6-7, 6-4, 6-1, L 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
2-0
W 6-2, 5-7, 6-0, W 6-4, 6-1
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 3-6, 6-3
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-2

Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera: quick answers

Who won Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Miguel Tobon beat Tomas Barrios Vera 3-6, 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Tomas Barrios Vera at 81%.

What is the head-to-head record between Miguel Tobon and Tomas Barrios Vera?

Miguel Tobon leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Miguel Tobon 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 at Chile Antofagasta.

Who is in better form, Miguel Tobon or Tomas Barrios Vera?

Miguel Tobon is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tomas Barrios Vera is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Miguel Tobon and Tomas Barrios Vera?

Miguel Tobon is rated 6599 (ATP #352) and Tomas Barrios Vera is rated 6729 (ATP #176). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Miguel Tobon is priced at +270 and Tomas Barrios Vera at -385, which implies a 27% and 79% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.