Samuele Pieri vs Miguel Damas

ATP Florence (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 05:15.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Miguel Damas, giving them a 52% chance to win against Samuele Pieri (48%). Samuele Pieri leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pieri is 6-4 in their last 10, Damas 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Miguel Damas a 52% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
48%
Book
57%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
52%
Book
51%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Miguel Damas at -104 · Model track record

Player comparison

Samuele PieriMiguel Damas
Tennis Gauge rating65886641
Tour rankATP #375ATP #290
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days6-23-4
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record56-3430-37
UTR14.0114.05
Elo (52 weeks)14511408
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Samuele Pieri leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Samuele Pieri6-4, 3-6, 6-2Italy Florence

Recent form

Samuele Pieri, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Sandro Kopp L4-6, 6-3, 6-4
19.10.2026Miguel Damas W6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Daniel Rincon L6-0, 6-2
06.10.2026Martin Krumich L6-0, 6-4
04.10.2026Juan Cruz Martin Manzano W6-4, 6-1
03.10.2026Vitaliy Sachko W5-7, 6-4, 6-2
02.10.2026Carlos Taberner W6-4, 4-6, 6-3
01.10.2026Laurent Lokoli W7-6, 7-6
29.09.2026Andrej Martin W6-4, 6-4
21.09.2026Juan Cruz Martin Manzano L6-4, 6-2

Miguel Damas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Samuele Pieri L6-4, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Max Wiskandt L0-6, 7-5, 6-4
08.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-4, 6-1
07.10.2026Johan Nikles W6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Alexander Ritschard L6-2, 7-5
01.10.2026Xavi Palomar W6-0, 6-1
30.09.2026Leonid Sheyngezikht W6-1, 6-2
08.09.2026Mika Brunold L6-3, 4-0
04.09.2026Hugo Dellien L6-2, 6-4
03.09.2026Dimitar Kuzmanov W7-5, 3-6, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSamuele PieriMiguel Damas
Daniel Rincon 0-1
L 6-0, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2
Diego Dedura Palomero 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
1-1
L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5
Dimitris Sakellaridis 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-0
Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 2-6, 6-2
Max Wiskandt 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 0-6, 7-5, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Miguel Damas 50% at -127
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Miguel Damas 50% at -127

Samuele Pieri vs Miguel Damas: quick answers

Who will win Samuele Pieri vs Miguel Damas?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Miguel Damas, giving them a 52% chance to win against Samuele Pieri (48%).

What is the head-to-head record between Samuele Pieri and Miguel Damas?

Samuele Pieri leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Samuele Pieri 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 at Italy Florence.

Who is in better form, Samuele Pieri or Miguel Damas?

Samuele Pieri is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Miguel Damas is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Samuele Pieri and Miguel Damas?

Samuele Pieri is rated 6588 (ATP #375) and Miguel Damas is rated 6641 (ATP #290). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Samuele Pieri vs Miguel Damas?

Samuele Pieri is priced at -133 and Miguel Damas at -104, which implies a 57% and 51% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.