Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza
Updated
Midori Castillo Meza beat Sophia Biolay 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sophia Biolay at 58%. Midori Castillo Meza leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Biolay is 5-5 in their last 10, Meza 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sophia Biolay a 58% favorite. At +265 the sportsbook implies 27% for Midori Castillo Meza, 15 points below the model's 42%.
Model minus book: -27 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Midori Castillo Meza at +265 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sophia Biolay | Midori Castillo Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6446 | 6248 |
| Tour rank | WTA #639 | WTA #1158 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 24-18 | 40-26 |
| UTR | 10.72 | 10.23 |
Head to head
Midori Castillo Meza leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Midori Castillo Meza | 7-5, 6-1 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Sophia Biolay, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Emma Slavikova | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Noelia Manta | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Vaishnavi Adkar | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Amelia Paszun | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Midori Castillo Meza | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Katarina Kuzmova | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ksenia Efremova | W | 6-4, 2-6, 7-5 |
| 04.10.2026 | Ekaterina Dotsenko | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Marta Soriano Santiago | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Polina Berezina | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Midori Castillo Meza, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tiphanie Lemaitre | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sophia Biolay | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Tereza Krejcova | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Zi Ying Ruan | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Lan Mi | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.09.2026 | Sophie Suh | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Lily Fairclough | W | 6-1, 2-1 |
| 10.09.2026 | Bentley Sparks | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Shaya Jovanovic | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sophia Biolay | Midori Castillo Meza |
|---|---|---|
| Avery Nguyen | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 10-8 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: WTA Monastir (IX) III (Tunisia), model gave Sophia Biolay 58% at -556
Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza: quick answers
Who won Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza?
Midori Castillo Meza beat Sophia Biolay 7-5, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sophia Biolay at 58%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sophia Biolay and Midori Castillo Meza?
Midori Castillo Meza leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Midori Castillo Meza 7-5, 6-1 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Sophia Biolay or Midori Castillo Meza?
Sophia Biolay is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Midori Castillo Meza is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sophia Biolay and Midori Castillo Meza?
Sophia Biolay is rated 6446 (WTA #639) and Midori Castillo Meza is rated 6248 (WTA #1158). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sophia Biolay vs Midori Castillo Meza?
Sophia Biolay is priced at -556 and Midori Castillo Meza at +265, which implies a 85% and 27% chance to win. The model rates Midori Castillo Meza 15 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 27%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.