Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio
Updated
Michael Vrbensky beat Raul Brancaccio 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Raul Brancaccio at 77%. Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vrbensky is 4-6 in their last 10, Brancaccio 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Raul Brancaccio a 77% favorite. At -256 the sportsbook implies 72% for Raul Brancaccio, 5 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Raul Brancaccio at -256 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Michael Vrbensky | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6550 | 6701 |
| Tour rank | ATP #424 | ATP #216 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 11-18 | 38-38 |
| UTR | 13.66 | 14.33 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1459 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Vrbensky | 6-3, 6-1 | Portugal Maia |
Recent form
Michael Vrbensky, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Lorenzo Giustino | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Raul Brancaccio | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Patrick Schoen | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Olle Wallin | W | 4-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.08.2026 | Oleksii Krutykh | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.07.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 27.07.2026 | Maxime Janvier | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 20.07.2026 | Patrik Niklas Salminen | L | 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 28.06.2026 | Maxime Janvier | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
Raul Brancaccio, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Alexander Ritschard | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Calvin Hemery | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Vrbensky | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Moez Echargui | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Mika Petkovic | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Filippo Romano | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Hynek Barton | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.09.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 2-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 08.09.2026 | Jonas Forejtek | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Michael Vrbensky | Raul Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Dali Blanch | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 0-6, 7-6 |
| Franco Agamenone | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Laurent Lokoli | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Marvin Moeller | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Matej Dodig | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Michael Vrbensky 23% at +177
Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio: quick answers
Who won Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio?
Michael Vrbensky beat Raul Brancaccio 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Raul Brancaccio at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Michael Vrbensky and Raul Brancaccio?
Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Michael Vrbensky 6-3, 6-1 at Portugal Maia.
Who is in better form, Michael Vrbensky or Raul Brancaccio?
Michael Vrbensky is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Raul Brancaccio is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Michael Vrbensky and Raul Brancaccio?
Michael Vrbensky is rated 6550 (ATP #424) and Raul Brancaccio is rated 6701 (ATP #216). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Michael Vrbensky vs Raul Brancaccio?
Michael Vrbensky is priced at +177 and Raul Brancaccio at -256, which implies a 36% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Raul Brancaccio 5 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 72%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.