Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Monday, October 12, 2026, 04:30.

Updated

Michael Vrbensky beat Patrick Schoen 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Patrick Schoen at 69%. Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Schoen is 7-3 in their last 10, Vrbensky 4-6.

Result: Michael Vrbensky beat Patrick Schoen 6-3, 6-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Patrick Schoen.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Patrick Schoen a 69% favorite. At +325 the sportsbook implies 24% for Michael Vrbensky, 7 points below the model's 31%.

Model
69%
Book
84%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model
31%
Book
24%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Michael Vrbensky at +325 · Model track record

Player comparison

Patrick SchoenMichael Vrbensky
Tennis Gauge rating65496550
Tour rankATP #427ATP #424
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days10-11-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record61-1811-18
UTR14.113.66

Head to head

Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Michael Vrbensky6-3, 6-4Portugal Maia

Recent form

Patrick Schoen, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin L6-1, 6-1
19.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin W6-0, 6-3
18.10.2026Francisco Rocha W7-6, 4-6, 7-6
12.10.2026Michael Vrbensky L6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Guilherme Valdoleiros W6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri L6-1, 6-0
07.10.2026Andrej Nedic W6-1, 7-6
05.10.2026Filip Misolic W6-1, 6-2
04.10.2026Alberto Barroso Campos W6-1, 6-3
20.09.2026Fausto Tabacco W6-2, 6-2

Michael Vrbensky, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Lorenzo Giustino L7-5, 7-5
13.10.2026Raul Brancaccio W6-3, 6-1
12.10.2026Patrick Schoen W6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Olle Wallin W4-3
14.09.2026Kai Wehnelt L7-5, 6-2
16.08.2026Oleksii Krutykh L2-6, 6-2, 6-4
28.07.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
27.07.2026Maxime Janvier W6-3, 5-7, 6-3
20.07.2026Patrik Niklas Salminen L7-6, 6-7, 6-4
28.06.2026Maxime Janvier L7-6, 4-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentPatrick SchoenMichael Vrbensky
Milos Karol 0-1
L 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 6-1
Robin Bertrand 2-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 6-2, W 6-2, 1-6, 6-2
2-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Patrick Schoen 69% at -526

Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky: quick answers

Who won Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky?

Michael Vrbensky beat Patrick Schoen 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Patrick Schoen at 69%.

What is the head-to-head record between Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky?

Michael Vrbensky leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Michael Vrbensky 6-3, 6-4 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Patrick Schoen or Michael Vrbensky?

Patrick Schoen is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Michael Vrbensky is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky?

Patrick Schoen is rated 6549 (ATP #427) and Michael Vrbensky is rated 6550 (ATP #424). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky?

Patrick Schoen is priced at -526 and Michael Vrbensky at +325, which implies a 84% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Michael Vrbensky 7 points higher than the odds do (31% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.