Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin
Updated
Pavel Lagutin beat Michael Geerts 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Geerts is 4-6 in their last 10, Lagutin 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Pavel Lagutin a 60% favorite. At +235 the sportsbook implies 30% for Michael Geerts, 10 points below the model's 40%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Michael Geerts at +235 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Michael Geerts | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6548 | 6560 |
| Tour rank | ATP #430 | ATP #404 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 32-25 | 79-23 |
| UTR | 14.08 | 14.34 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1344 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Grass | – |
Head to head
Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | 6-4, 6-1 | Italy Catania |
Recent form
Michael Geerts, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Matisse Bobichon | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Niels Mcdonald | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Leo Raquillet | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Edas Butvilas | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Vladyslav Orlov | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Carlos Sanchez Jover | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.08.2026 | Lucas Poullain | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
Pavel Lagutin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Yanaki Milev | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Geerts | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Ignacio Parisca | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Iliyan Radulov | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | W | 7-6, 3-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Michael Geerts | Pavel Lagutin |
|---|---|---|
| Eliakim Coulibaly | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jan Kumstat | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Mae Malige | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Tiago Pereira | 2-0 W 6-0, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 5-7, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Catania (Italy), model gave Michael Geerts 40% at +235
Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin: quick answers
Who won Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin?
Pavel Lagutin beat Michael Geerts 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin?
Pavel Lagutin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Pavel Lagutin 6-4, 6-1 at Italy Catania.
Who is in better form, Michael Geerts or Pavel Lagutin?
Michael Geerts is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Pavel Lagutin is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Michael Geerts and Pavel Lagutin?
Michael Geerts is rated 6548 (ATP #430) and Pavel Lagutin is rated 6560 (ATP #404). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Michael Geerts vs Pavel Lagutin?
Michael Geerts is priced at +235 and Pavel Lagutin at -357, which implies a 30% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Michael Geerts 10 points higher than the odds do (40% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.