Michael Agwi vs Noel Larwig
Updated
Michael Agwi beat Noel Larwig 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Michael Agwi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Agwi is 6-4 in their last 10, Larwig 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Michael Agwi a 88% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Michael Agwi at -1250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Michael Agwi | Noel Larwig | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6422 | 6245 |
| Tour rank | ATP #713 | ATP #1392 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 5 Losses |
| Season record | 22-17 | 12-23 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 12.86 |
Head to head
Michael Agwi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Agwi | 6-3, 6-2 | Germany Offenbach |
Recent form
Michael Agwi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Leonardo Rossi | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Noel Larwig | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Finn Murgett | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Francisco Rocha | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Adria Soriano Barrera | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 17.09.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Joao Dinis Silva | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.09.2026 | Linus Lagerbohm | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.09.2026 | Daniel Salazar | W | 4-6, 7-5, 5-2 |
Noel Larwig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Michael Agwi | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Daniil Sarksian | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Dmitry Dolzhenkov | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.08.2026 | Matthias Ujvary | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.08.2026 | John Hallquist Lithen | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 20.08.2026 | Oscar Moraing | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.08.2026 | Denis Yevseyev | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 07.08.2026 | Antoine Escoffier | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.08.2026 | Alec Beckley | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 04.08.2026 | Kacper Knitter | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Offenbach (Germany), model gave Michael Agwi 88% at -1250
Michael Agwi vs Noel Larwig: quick answers
Who won Michael Agwi vs Noel Larwig?
Michael Agwi beat Noel Larwig 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Michael Agwi and Noel Larwig?
Michael Agwi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Michael Agwi 6-3, 6-2 at Germany Offenbach.
Who is in better form, Michael Agwi or Noel Larwig?
Michael Agwi is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Noel Larwig is 2-8 (current streak: 5 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Michael Agwi and Noel Larwig?
Michael Agwi is rated 6422 (ATP #713) and Noel Larwig is rated 6245 (ATP #1392). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Michael Agwi vs Noel Larwig?
Michael Agwi is priced at -1250 and Noel Larwig at +400, which implies a 93% and 20% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.