Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mert Alkaya
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yu Hsiou Hsu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mert Alkaya (35%). Hsu is 5-5 in their last 10, Alkaya 6-4. At -133, the odds imply 57% for Yu Hsiou Hsu, below the model's 65%.
Prediction
The model makes Yu Hsiou Hsu a 65% favorite. At -133 the sportsbook implies 57% for Yu Hsiou Hsu, 8 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yu Hsiou Hsu at -133 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6608 | 6555 |
| Tour rank | ATP #343 | ATP #410 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 33-27 | 49-30 |
| UTR | 14.18 | 13.94 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1436 | 1369 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Yu Hsiou Hsu and Mert Alkaya haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Yu Hsiou Hsu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Yuta Shimizu | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | W | 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Jie Cui | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | L | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 19.09.2026 | Olle Wallin | L | 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 08.09.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 02.09.2026 | James Trotter | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 01.09.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 7-6, 5-5 |
| 23.08.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.08.2026 | Masamichi Imamura | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
Mert Alkaya, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Yan Cheng Chen | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ko Suzuki | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 20.09.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 19.09.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yu Hsiou Hsu | Mert Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | 1-0 W 7-6, 5-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-0 |
| Hiroki Moriya | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Olle Wallin | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yu Hsiou Hsu 65% at -133
- 2026-10-31: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yu Hsiou Hsu 65% at -133
- 2026-10-30: ATP Ningbo (China), model gave Yu Hsiou Hsu 65% at -133
Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mert Alkaya: quick answers
Who will win Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mert Alkaya?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Yu Hsiou Hsu, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mert Alkaya (35%).
Have Yu Hsiou Hsu and Mert Alkaya played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Yu Hsiou Hsu or Mert Alkaya?
Yu Hsiou Hsu is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Mert Alkaya is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yu Hsiou Hsu and Mert Alkaya?
Yu Hsiou Hsu is rated 6608 (ATP #343) and Mert Alkaya is rated 6555 (ATP #410). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Mert Alkaya?
Yu Hsiou Hsu is priced at -133 and Mert Alkaya at -105, which implies a 57% and 51% chance to win. The model rates Yu Hsiou Hsu 8 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.