Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya

ATP Luan IV (China), Hard. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Mert Alkaya beat Yan Cheng Chen 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mert Alkaya leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Chen is 4-6 in their last 10, Alkaya 6-4.

Result: Mert Alkaya beat Yan Cheng Chen 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mert Alkaya a 93% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
7%
Book
14%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Mert Alkaya -2000
Model
93%
Book
95%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mert Alkaya at -2000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yan Cheng ChenMert Alkaya
Tennis Gauge rating62526555
Tour rankATP #1354ATP #410
Last 10 matches4-66-4
Last 30 days4-12-3
Current streak4 Losses2 Wins
Season record19-2449-30
UTR12.7113.94
Elo (52 weeks)–1376
Best surface–Grass
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Mert Alkaya leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Mert Alkaya6-3, 6-4China Luan IV

Recent form

Yan Cheng Chen, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Ko Suzuki L7-5, 3-6, 6-4
21.10.2026Oscar Brown L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Mert Alkaya L6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Dong Ju Kim L0-6, 6-2
07.10.2026Kuan Shou Chen W6-3, 6-3
11.09.2026Digvijaypratap Singh L6-1, 6-3
10.09.2026Azuma Visaya W6-3, 4-6, 6-2
09.09.2026Haruto Ishikawa W4-6, 6-4, 6-1
03.09.2026Isaac Becroft L6-2, 1-0
02.09.2026Raghav Jaisinghani W6-2, 6-1

Mert Alkaya, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Hiroki Moriya W6-3, 3-6, 6-4
26.10.2026Rigele Te W7-6, 6-4
19.10.2026Andre Ilagan L6-4, 3-6, 6-1
11.10.2026Matthew Dellavedova L6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Nino Ehrenschneider W2-6, 6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Yan Cheng Chen W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Ko Suzuki W6-0, 6-1
07.10.2026Isaac Becroft W6-1, 7-5
20.09.2026Francisco Cerundolo L6-1, 6-0
19.09.2026Thiago Agustin Tirante L6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYan Cheng ChenMert Alkaya
Digvijaypratap Singh 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
Isaac Becroft 0-1
L 6-2, 1-0
1-0
W 6-1, 7-5
Ko Suzuki 0-1
L 7-5, 3-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
Matthew Dellavedova 0-1
L 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1

Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya: quick answers

Who won Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya?

Mert Alkaya beat Yan Cheng Chen 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Yan Cheng Chen and Mert Alkaya?

Mert Alkaya leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Mert Alkaya 6-3, 6-4 at China Luan IV.

Who is in better form, Yan Cheng Chen or Mert Alkaya?

Yan Cheng Chen is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Mert Alkaya is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yan Cheng Chen and Mert Alkaya?

Yan Cheng Chen is rated 6252 (ATP #1354) and Mert Alkaya is rated 6555 (ATP #410). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yan Cheng Chen vs Mert Alkaya?

Yan Cheng Chen is priced at +600 and Mert Alkaya at -2000, which implies a 14% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.