Mert Alkaya vs Nino Ehrenschneider

ATP Luan IV (China), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Mert Alkaya beat Nino Ehrenschneider 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mert Alkaya leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Alkaya is 6-4 in their last 10, Ehrenschneider 8-2.

Result: Mert Alkaya beat Nino Ehrenschneider 2-6, 6-3, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mert Alkaya a 70% favorite. At -164 the sportsbook implies 62% for Mert Alkaya, 8 points below the model's 70%.

Model
70%
Book
62%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model
30%
Book
47%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mert Alkaya at -164 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mert AlkayaNino Ehrenschneider
Tennis Gauge rating65556416
Tour rankATP #410ATP #736
Last 10 matches6-48-2
Last 30 days3-310-2
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record49-3046-36
UTR13.9413.44
Elo (52 weeks)1376–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Mert Alkaya leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Mert Alkaya2-6, 6-3, 6-4China Luan IV

Recent form

Mert Alkaya, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Hiroki Moriya W6-3, 3-6, 6-4
26.10.2026Rigele Te W7-6, 6-4
19.10.2026Andre Ilagan L6-4, 3-6, 6-1
11.10.2026Matthew Dellavedova L6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Nino Ehrenschneider W2-6, 6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Yan Cheng Chen W6-3, 6-4
08.10.2026Ko Suzuki W6-0, 6-1
07.10.2026Isaac Becroft W6-1, 7-5
20.09.2026Francisco Cerundolo L6-1, 6-0
19.09.2026Thiago Agustin Tirante L6-2, 6-4

Nino Ehrenschneider, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Georgii Kravchenko L6-1, 6-4
28.10.2026Mario Gonzalez Fernandez W6-1, 6-7, 7-6
10.10.2026Mert Alkaya L2-6, 6-3, 6-4
09.10.2026Yuta Tomida W6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Sasi Kumar Mukund W7-5, 6-1
07.10.2026Qian Sun W7-5, 4-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Isaac Becroft W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
03.10.2026Ryuki Matsuda W2-6, 6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Taisei Ichikawa W1-6, 6-2, 6-2
01.10.2026James Van Herzeele W6-2, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMert AlkayaNino Ehrenschneider
Alaa Trifi 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
Federico Iannaccone 0-1
L 6-2, 2-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Florian Broska 0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Gauthier Onclin 0-2
L 6-3, 7-6, L 1-6, 6-2, 7-5
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
Georgii Kravchenko 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
Isaac Becroft 1-0
W 6-1, 7-5
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
John Echeverria 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 6-3
John Hallquist Lithen 1-0
W 6-1, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
Sasi Kumar Mukund 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-1
Saveliy Ivanov 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
2-0
W 6-3, 6-1, W 6-1, 6-4

Mert Alkaya vs Nino Ehrenschneider: quick answers

Who won Mert Alkaya vs Nino Ehrenschneider?

Mert Alkaya beat Nino Ehrenschneider 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mert Alkaya and Nino Ehrenschneider?

Mert Alkaya leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Mert Alkaya 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 at China Luan IV.

Who is in better form, Mert Alkaya or Nino Ehrenschneider?

Mert Alkaya is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Nino Ehrenschneider is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mert Alkaya and Nino Ehrenschneider?

Mert Alkaya is rated 6555 (ATP #410) and Nino Ehrenschneider is rated 6416 (ATP #736). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mert Alkaya vs Nino Ehrenschneider?

Mert Alkaya is priced at -164 and Nino Ehrenschneider at +113, which implies a 62% and 47% chance to win. The model rates Mert Alkaya 8 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 62%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.