Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat

WTA Austin (XI) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Olivia Lincer, giving them a 72% chance to win against Merna Refaat (28%). Olivia Lincer leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lincer is 4-6 in their last 10, Refaat 4-6. At -182, the odds imply 65% for Olivia Lincer, below the model's 72%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Olivia Lincer a 72% favorite. At -182 the sportsbook implies 65% for Olivia Lincer, 7 points below the model's 72%.

Model
72%
Book
65%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
28%
Book
46%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Olivia Lincer at -182 · Model track record

Player comparison

Olivia LincerMerna Refaat
Tennis Gauge rating65276369
Tour rankWTA #504WTA #800
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days3-33-2
Current streak2 Losses2 Losses
Season record10-1711-8
UTR10.9910.67

Head to head

Olivia Lincer leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Olivia Lincer6-4, 6-1USA Austin

Recent form

Olivia Lincer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Astra Sharma L6-2, 6-4
20.10.2026Malaika Rapolu L6-3, 6-2
19.10.2026Merna Refaat W6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Rasheeda Mcadoo W6-1, 6-4
12.10.2026Dana Guzman L6-4, 4-6, 6-3
29.09.2026Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W6-1, 1-0
29.09.2026Amelie Van Impe L6-3, 7-5
22.09.2026Maria Sholokhova L6-1, 6-0
21.09.2026Ela Plosnik W6-1, 6-0
03.08.2026Clervie Ngounoue L6-3, 6-1

Merna Refaat, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Julia Adams L6-1, 6-4
19.10.2026Olivia Lincer L6-4, 6-1
18.10.2026Alexandra Vagramov W7-5, 6-2
03.10.2026Rose Marie Nijkamp L6-1, 6-4
01.10.2026Sophia Webster W6-1, 6-3
30.09.2026Alice Soulie W7-5, 6-4
21.09.2026Connie Ma L6-1, 5-7, 6-0
17.05.2026Lexington Reed L7-6, 6-3
16.05.2026Audrey Spencer W6-4, 6-2
08.05.2026Claire An L6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat: quick answers

Who will win Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Olivia Lincer, giving them a 72% chance to win against Merna Refaat (28%).

What is the head-to-head record between Olivia Lincer and Merna Refaat?

Olivia Lincer leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Olivia Lincer 6-4, 6-1 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Olivia Lincer or Merna Refaat?

Olivia Lincer is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Merna Refaat is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Olivia Lincer and Merna Refaat?

Olivia Lincer is rated 6527 (WTA #504) and Merna Refaat is rated 6369 (WTA #800). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat?

Olivia Lincer is priced at -182 and Merna Refaat at +118, which implies a 65% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Olivia Lincer 7 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 65%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.