Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

WTA Austin (XI) (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 11:15.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sofia Johnson, giving them a 75% chance to win against Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (25%). Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Johnson is 4-6 in their last 10, Gonzalez 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sofia Johnson a 75% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
75%
Book
81%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model
25%
Book
29%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sofia Johnson at -417 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sofia JohnsonMell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Tennis Gauge rating66786493
Tour rankWTA #306WTA #560
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days2-22-2
Current streak3 Losses1 Loss
Season record52-2332-28
UTR11.4610.95
Elo (52 weeks)13041238
Best surfaceHardGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez6-3, 6-1USA Austin

Recent form

Sofia Johnson, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Fiona Ferro L7-5, 1-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez L6-3, 6-1
15.10.2026Renata Zarazua L6-3, 6-1
13.10.2026Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W3-6, 6-3, 6-3
12.10.2026Mckenna Schaefbauer W6-3, 7-5
22.09.2026Maria Timofeeva L6-4, 6-2
21.09.2026Reese Brantmeier L6-3, 6-4
20.09.2026Ivana Sebestova W6-2, 6-2
14.09.2026Malaika Rapolu L6-0, 6-2
13.09.2026Margaux Rouvroy W6-4, 6-2

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Diletta Cherubini L6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Sofia Johnson W6-3, 6-1
13.10.2026Jo Yee Chan L6-4, 6-2
09.10.2026Francesca Pace L6-7, 6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Kristina Penickova W7-5, 6-0
07.10.2026Maria Sholokhova W6-2, 6-3
13.09.2026Dalila Spiteri L6-4, 0-6, 6-1
08.09.2026Katie Swan L6-0, 6-2
03.09.2026Linda Fruhvirtova L6-3, 6-4
01.09.2026Adithya Karunaratne W6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSofia JohnsonMell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Anna Rogers 1-1
W 6-4, 1-6, 6-2, L 1-6, 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Bella Payne 1-0
W 3-6, 7-5, 6-1
1-1
W 6-2, 6-3, L 7-6, 7-6
Emiliana Arango 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-0, 6-1
Gina Feistel 0-1
L 7-5, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Isabella Marton 1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Jo Yee Chan 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Linda Fruhvirtova 0-1
L 6-4, 6-0
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Martina Capurro Taborda 1-0
W 6-1, 4-6, 6-3
1-1
W 7-6, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-4
Noelia Zeballos 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-20: WTA Austin (XI) (USA), model gave Sofia Johnson 75% at -417

Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez: quick answers

Who will win Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sofia Johnson, giving them a 75% chance to win against Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (25%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sofia Johnson and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 6-3, 6-1 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Sofia Johnson or Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Sofia Johnson is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sofia Johnson and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Sofia Johnson is rated 6678 (WTA #306) and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez is rated 6493 (WTA #560). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?

Sofia Johnson is priced at -417 and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez at +248, which implies a 81% and 29% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.