Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

Sofia Kenin beat Mei Yamaguchi 2-6, 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sofia Kenin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Yamaguchi is 3-7 in their last 10, Kenin 2-8.

Result: Sofia Kenin beat Mei Yamaguchi 2-6, 6-0, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sofia Kenin a 77% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
23%
Book
20%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
77%
Book
89%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sofia Kenin at -833 · Model track record

Player comparison

Mei YamaguchiSofia Kenin
Tennis Gauge rating67076935
Tour rankWTA #277WTA #97
Last 10 matches3-72-8
Last 30 days1-30-3
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record28-319-27
UTR11.0711.95
Elo (52 weeks)13891693
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Sofia Kenin leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Sofia Kenin2-6, 6-0, 6-1Japan Osaka

Recent form

Mei Yamaguchi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Harriet Dart L6-2, 6-1
24.10.2026Linda Fruhvirtova W2-6, 6-2, 7-6
17.10.2026Sofia Kenin L2-6, 6-0, 6-1
28.09.2026Wushuang Zheng L6-1, 6-3
22.09.2026Alycia Parks L6-4, 6-3
20.09.2026Kyoka Okamura L6-1, 6-1
19.09.2026Ulrikke Eikeri W6-1, 6-4
08.09.2026Tahlia Kokkinis L4-6, 7-6, 6-1
03.09.2026Zhuoxuan Bai L3-6, 6-1, 6-0
01.09.2026Dayeon Back W6-2, 6-1

Sofia Kenin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Kaitlin Quevedo L6-4, 6-7, 6-4
20.10.2026Kayla Day L6-3, 6-2
18.10.2026Sinja Kraus L7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Mei Yamaguchi W2-6, 6-0, 6-1
10.10.2026Kamilla Rakhimova L6-0, 6-3
01.10.2026Ashlyn Krueger L6-3, 6-3
22.09.2026Alina Charaeva L3-6, 7-6, 6-4
02.09.2026Jessica Pegula L6-3, 6-1
31.08.2026Venus Williams W6-2, 7-6
16.08.2026Marta Kostyuk L4-6, 6-3, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Mei Yamaguchi 23% at +402

Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin: quick answers

Who won Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin?

Sofia Kenin beat Mei Yamaguchi 2-6, 6-0, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Mei Yamaguchi and Sofia Kenin?

Sofia Kenin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Sofia Kenin 2-6, 6-0, 6-1 at Japan Osaka.

Who is in better form, Mei Yamaguchi or Sofia Kenin?

Mei Yamaguchi is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sofia Kenin is 2-8 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Mei Yamaguchi and Sofia Kenin?

Mei Yamaguchi is rated 6707 (WTA #277) and Sofia Kenin is rated 6935 (WTA #97). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofia Kenin?

Mei Yamaguchi is priced at +402 and Sofia Kenin at -833, which implies a 20% and 89% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.