Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima

ATP Catania (Italy), Clay. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Sebastian Gima beat Maximus Jones 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maximus Jones at 54%. Sebastian Gima leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Jones is 3-7 in their last 10, Gima 7-3.

Result: Sebastian Gima beat Maximus Jones 6-2, 3-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Maximus Jones.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maximus Jones a 54% favorite. At +167 the sportsbook implies 37% for Maximus Jones, 16 points below the model's 54%.

Model
54%
Book
37%

Model minus book: +16 pts

Model
46%
Book
71%

Model minus book: -25 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maximus Jones at +167 · Model track record

Player comparison

Maximus JonesSebastian Gima
Tennis Gauge rating65166424
Tour rankATP #497ATP #706
Last 10 matches3-77-3
Last 30 days0-310-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record24-3041-33
UTR13.713.57
Elo (52 weeks)13121167
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Sebastian Gima leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Sebastian Gima6-2, 3-6, 6-3Italy Catania

Recent form

Maximus Jones, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Yanaki Milev L7-5, 6-3
18.10.2026Martino Guidotti W6-1, 6-0
11.10.2026Sebastian Gima L6-2, 3-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Alexander Shevchenko L6-1, 6-4
19.09.2026Timofey Skatov L6-4, 4-6, 6-4
18.09.2026Alexander Shevchenko L6-4, 1-6, 7-5
09.09.2026Hiroki Moriya L6-3, 7-6
08.09.2026Florent Bax W6-0, 3-6, 7-6
02.09.2026Ivan Ivanov L6-0, 6-4
01.09.2026Oskari Paldanius W6-3, 6-4

Sebastian Gima, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Sergi Perez Contri L7-5, 7-6
12.10.2026Pedro Vives Marcos L7-6, 6-2
11.10.2026Maximus Jones W6-2, 3-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Iannis Miletich L6-4, 6-7, 6-2
07.10.2026Timo Rosenkranz Koenig W6-4, 6-2
04.10.2026Gabi Adrian Boitan W6-3, 6-4
03.10.2026Radu David Turcanu W6-3, 2-6, 7-6
02.10.2026Jannik Opitz W3-6, 6-0, 6-1
01.10.2026Petros Tsitsipas W6-3, 6-4
30.09.2026Sebastian Dominko W6-4, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima: quick answers

Who won Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima?

Sebastian Gima beat Maximus Jones 6-2, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Maximus Jones at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Maximus Jones and Sebastian Gima?

Sebastian Gima leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Sebastian Gima 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 at Italy Catania.

Who is in better form, Maximus Jones or Sebastian Gima?

Maximus Jones is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sebastian Gima is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Maximus Jones and Sebastian Gima?

Maximus Jones is rated 6516 (ATP #497) and Sebastian Gima is rated 6424 (ATP #706). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima?

Maximus Jones is priced at +167 and Sebastian Gima at -244, which implies a 37% and 71% chance to win. The model rates Maximus Jones 16 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.