Maximilian Marterer vs Tom Paris
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tom Paris, giving them a 57% chance to win against Maximilian Marterer (43%). Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marterer is 5-5 in their last 10, Paris 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tom Paris a 57% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model minus book: -5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tom Paris at -161 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maximilian Marterer | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6532 | 6580 |
| Tour rank | ATP #464 | ATP #383 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 8-10 | 11-13 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 13.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1359 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | 6-2, 6-4 | France Sarreguemines |
Recent form
Maximilian Marterer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Johannus Monday | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Finn Murgett | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Arthur Nagel | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Thijs Boogaard | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Arthur Bouquier | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Tom Paris | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 14.09.2026 | Pavel Lagutin | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 23.08.2026 | Benjamin Hassan | L | 7-5, 6-7, 4-1 |
| 22.08.2026 | Daniel Masur | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Tom Paris, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Borna Gojo | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Kilian Feldbausch | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Romain Faucon | W | 6-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maximilian Marterer | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Ugo Blanchet | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Lucas Poullain | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Niels Visker | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 25.05.2026 | Lukas Pokorny | L | 0-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 28.04.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maximilian Marterer | Tom Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Hassan | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-7, 4-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Maximilian Marterer vs Tom Paris: quick answers
Who will win Maximilian Marterer vs Tom Paris?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tom Paris, giving them a 57% chance to win against Maximilian Marterer (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Maximilian Marterer and Tom Paris?
Maximilian Marterer leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Maximilian Marterer 6-2, 6-4 at France Sarreguemines.
Who is in better form, Maximilian Marterer or Tom Paris?
Maximilian Marterer is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tom Paris is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maximilian Marterer and Tom Paris?
Maximilian Marterer is rated 6532 (ATP #464) and Tom Paris is rated 6580 (ATP #383). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maximilian Marterer vs Tom Paris?
Maximilian Marterer is priced at +110 and Tom Paris at -161, which implies a 48% and 62% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.