Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maxim Mrva, giving them a 52% chance to win against Pierre Hugues Herbert (48%). Pierre Hugues Herbert leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Herbert is 4-6 in their last 10, Mrva 5-5. At +135, the odds imply 43% for Maxim Mrva, below the model's 52%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Maxim Mrva a 52% favorite. At +135 the sportsbook implies 43% for Maxim Mrva, 9 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maxim Mrva at +135 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6743 | 6700 |
| Tour rank | ATP #163 | ATP #220 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-24 | 36-32 |
| UTR | 14.36 | 14.33 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1552 | 1537 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Pierre Hugues Herbert leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Pierre Hugues Herbert, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Stefano Travaglia | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Norbert Gombos | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Lorenzo Sonego | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 23.08.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | L | 3-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
Maxim Mrva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hynek Barton | W | 6-2, 2-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Izan Almazan Valiente | L | 7-5, 0-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mykyta Mashtakov | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 5-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Federico Iannaccone | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pierre Hugues Herbert | Maxim Mrva |
|---|---|---|
| Cezar Cretu | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Dusan Lajovic | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Edas Butvilas | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 1-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Guy Den Ouden | 2-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Lloyd Harris | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Norbert Gombos | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Paul Jubb | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Sebastian Baez | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 49% at -200
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Pierre Hugues Herbert 49% at -200
Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva: quick answers
Who will win Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Maxim Mrva, giving them a 52% chance to win against Pierre Hugues Herbert (48%).
What is the head-to-head record between Pierre Hugues Herbert and Maxim Mrva?
Pierre Hugues Herbert leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Pierre Hugues Herbert 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Pierre Hugues Herbert or Maxim Mrva?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Maxim Mrva is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pierre Hugues Herbert and Maxim Mrva?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is rated 6743 (ATP #163) and Maxim Mrva is rated 6700 (ATP #220). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Maxim Mrva?
Pierre Hugues Herbert is priced at -182 and Maxim Mrva at +135, which implies a 65% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Maxim Mrva 9 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.