Matyas Fuele vs Thomas Kostka

ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 11:40.

Updated

Matyas Fuele beat Thomas Kostka 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matyas Fuele leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fuele is 4-6 in their last 10, Kostka 6-4.

Result: Matyas Fuele beat Thomas Kostka 6-3, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Matyas Fuele a 95% favorite. At -476 the sportsbook implies 83% for Matyas Fuele, 13 points below the model's 95%.

Model
95%
Book
83%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model
5%
Book
27%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matyas Fuele at -476 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matyas FueleThomas Kostka
Tennis Gauge rating64396084
Tour rankATP #672ATP #2313
Last 10 matches4-66-4
Last 30 days0-03-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record27-196-4
UTR13.9512.74

Head to head

Matyas Fuele leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Matyas Fuele6-3, 7-6Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Matyas Fuele, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Fons Van Sambeek L6-2, 1-0
21.10.2026Martin Soukal W1-6, 6-4, 6-4
16.10.2026Nikita Bilozertsev L6-2, 4-0
16.10.2026Nikita Belozertsev L6-2, 4-0
14.10.2026Thomas Kostka W6-3, 7-6
31.08.2026Patrick Schoen L6-4, 2-6, 6-4
30.08.2026Benjamin Winter Lopez W6-7, 6-4, 6-2
23.08.2026Liam Gavrielides L7-5, 6-0
30.07.2026Miguel Angel Machado L7-6, 2-1
29.07.2026Edouard Villoslada W7-6, 6-3

Thomas Kostka, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Matyas Fuele L6-3, 7-6
07.10.2026Marcus Walters L7-6, 6-2
05.10.2026Theofanis Kontopoulos W6-2, 6-2
04.10.2026Georgios Nouchakis W6-4, 3-1
03.10.2026Dvir Osipov W6-1, 6-3
18.05.2026Darius Florin Pop L1-6, 6-2, 1-0
17.05.2026Andrei-Cristian Jinga W6-0, 6-1
16.05.2026Matteo Cornaggia W6-0, 6-0
27.11.2025Keshav Chopra L6-4, 6-0
26.11.2025Giovanni Ciocca W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Heraklion (XI) I (Greece), model gave Matyas Fuele 95% at -476

Matyas Fuele vs Thomas Kostka: quick answers

Who won Matyas Fuele vs Thomas Kostka?

Matyas Fuele beat Thomas Kostka 6-3, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Matyas Fuele and Thomas Kostka?

Matyas Fuele leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Matyas Fuele 6-3, 7-6 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Matyas Fuele or Thomas Kostka?

Matyas Fuele is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thomas Kostka is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matyas Fuele and Thomas Kostka?

Matyas Fuele is rated 6439 (ATP #672) and Thomas Kostka is rated 6084 (ATP #2313). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matyas Fuele vs Thomas Kostka?

Matyas Fuele is priced at -476 and Thomas Kostka at +277, which implies a 83% and 27% chance to win. The model rates Matyas Fuele 13 points higher than the odds do (95% vs 83%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.